Right but if Nintendo wants to hit that 20 million goal, it's going to need to sell a lot more than that.

It will do over 4 million this year

Good week for Switch.

This will be difficult. Between 3 to 3.5m is more likely at current selling rate.......the dark horse is the Labo effect.  It might not need Japan to meet Global targets though. It is doing extremely well in Germany, France and Spain and the UK is starting to stir. Last week's direct is bringing significant momentum.

In japan switch is at 535k for the year. There are 42 weeks left. If nsw avg 55k a week for the next 38 weeks and avg 175k for Dec (4 weeks) that is right there...  3.5mil for 2018.

Its going to avg better than 55k a week due to bumps (even if baseline is 45k). Its going over 4mil

28,4k PS4's = abit low.
45,1k Switches = nice.

182 xbox's...... = meh.

No, it will be easy.

It did 3.3 million last year with a whole bunch of weeks in the 20-30k range while its consistently doing 40-50k without any major releases so far this year.

Switch being roughly flat YOY would be a very unlikely thing to happen this year.

It did that much last year, Fire Emblem is out this year though that will give Switch a significant boost in Japan alongside Smash.

This is very convincing so I'll move my estimate to between 3.5 and 4m. I am still not sure of over 4m.

Switch is in line of doing better than last year, especially during spring where the Switch was at about 20k for 2 months due to lack of Switch consoles. The week before Splatoon 2 launch the Switch was at about 1.1M. I'm pretty sure this year Switch will be quite ahead of that come week 28.

Since the console did around 3.3M last year I very much doubt that it will do any less then that. 4M+ might be difficult, but I reserve Judgement until after E3 on that