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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - NPD sales: Switch (2018) VS Wii (2008)

 

Switch sales in USA in 2018?

4 million or less 6 8.00%
 
4-5 million 4 5.33%
 
5-6 million 14 18.67%
 
6-7 million 16 21.33%
 
7-8 million 11 14.67%
 
8-9 million 7 9.33%
 
9-10 million 7 9.33%
 
over 10 million 10 13.33%
 
Total:75

I think Switch will do ~5m



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2008 Nintendo published Wii games

January-Endless Ocean
March-Super Smash Bros: Brawl
April-Mario kart Wii
May-Wii Fit
August-Mario Super Sluggers
September-Wario Land: Shake It
October-Wii Music
November-Animal Crossing: City Folk



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

jason1637 said:
I think Switch will do ~5m

It did 4.88 million last year, so basically flat YOY.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

I predict between 8-10 million for Nintendo Switch 2018 NPD.

Based on what we currently know, I think Nintendo announces the appropriate software this year to support shipping 24 Million Nintendo Switches (now that production will be ramped up a lot higher) this Calendar Year with 22.5 million Sell-through by December 31st (36 million LTD).

For NPD, it will depend on shipment allocation ratios (as sell-through rates will be high come the end of this December, it will be supply dependent)

So if the US alone gets 40% of the supply 2018's Nintendo Switch NPD could hit 9 million, if US gets 35.6% of supply around 8 million, 44.4% would be 10 million.

It just depends on what Nintendo chooses based on how they feel their 2018 software lineup serves each region.

Will be interesting to see how it goes down.

:)

Edit: Now, if Nintendo fails production goals by the end of December, that will be a different story, but I would like to think Nintendo learned their lesson from 2017 and will have put in appropriate order volumes this time...

Last edited by trent44 - on 03 February 2018

Ryng_Tolu said:
While i don't see Switch winning, i'm sure results will be closer than what people expect.

I vote for the 7-8 million range.

switch won't even win one month.



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zorg1000 said:
jason1637 said:
I think Switch will do ~5m

It did 4.88 million last year, so basically flat YOY.

Yeah I expect it to sell 120k-220k This year.



quickrick said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
While i don't see Switch winning, i'm sure results will be closer than what people expect.

I vote for the 7-8 million range.

switch won't even win one month.

This. The only month that the Switch even has a chance is January.



The DS peaked in 2011? Wow. That's the same year as the 3DS launch.

Anyway i actually think the Switch can win January and December. Maybe even November too depending on the holiday title. Anyway I am also voting for the 7-8 million range.



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killeryoshis said:
The DS peaked in 2011? Wow. That's the same year as the 3DS launch.

No, it peaked in 2009 with 11 million if I remember correctly. 



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