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I predict between 8-10 million for Nintendo Switch 2018 NPD.

Based on what we currently know, I think Nintendo announces the appropriate software this year to support shipping 24 Million Nintendo Switches (now that production will be ramped up a lot higher) this Calendar Year with 22.5 million Sell-through by December 31st (36 million LTD).

For NPD, it will depend on shipment allocation ratios (as sell-through rates will be high come the end of this December, it will be supply dependent)

So if the US alone gets 40% of the supply 2018's Nintendo Switch NPD could hit 9 million, if US gets 35.6% of supply around 8 million, 44.4% would be 10 million.

It just depends on what Nintendo chooses based on how they feel their 2018 software lineup serves each region.

Will be interesting to see how it goes down.

:)

Edit: Now, if Nintendo fails production goals by the end of December, that will be a different story, but I would like to think Nintendo learned their lesson from 2017 and will have put in appropriate order volumes this time...

Last edited by trent44 - on 03 February 2018