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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - NPD sales: Switch (2018) VS Wii (2008)

 

Switch sales in USA in 2018?

4 million or less 6 8.00%
 
4-5 million 4 5.33%
 
5-6 million 14 18.67%
 
6-7 million 16 21.33%
 
7-8 million 11 14.67%
 
8-9 million 7 9.33%
 
9-10 million 7 9.33%
 
over 10 million 10 13.33%
 
Total:75
RolStoppable said:
quickrick said:

switch won't even win one month.

Looks like another instance of a wrong call.

LOL another win for me :).



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quickrick said:
RolStoppable said:

Looks like another instance of a wrong call.

LOL another win for me :).

These two in this thread won't be though.

quickrick said: 
Mbolibombo said: 

I think it's safe to say that we're either going to see Smash, Pokemon or Animal Crossing or possibly even two of those and we all know how much those drive sales. Then there's the ever green Nintendo titles that always keep selling hardware. There should be better stock this year as well to boost mid season sales compared to last year as well.

You dont think it's possible to sell another 2M compared to this year? 

What are your expectations? 

4.5 million for the year.

1.8m in Nov+Dec needed to beat this. Which will easily be accomplished.

quickrick said: 
Mbolibombo said: 

So you're not sure about that 4.5? ;)

No problems, I can take that 5.2 bet.

ok bet is on.

5.2m+ will need just 2.7m in NOV+DEC which I give a 90% chance of happening lol.



Barkley said:

 

quickrick said:

LOL another win for me :).

These two in this thread won't be though.

quickrick said: 

4.5 million for the year.

1.8m in Nov+Dec needed to beat this. Which will easily be accomplished.

quickrick said: 

ok bet is on.

5.2m+ will need just 2.7m in NOV+DEC which I give a 90% chance of happening lol.

we'll see soon enough, its 50/50 really.



Barkley said:

Well, this thread never got updated after January! xD


Here's updated table.

NPD Switch (2018) Wii (2008)
January 270,000 274,000
February 279,000 432,000
March 308,000 721,000
April 171,000 714,000
May 166,000 675,000
June 325,000 667,000
July 263,000 555,000
August 203,000 453,000
September 259,000 667,000
October 255,000 803,000
November
2,040,000
December
2,150,000
 Total 2,499,000 10,151,000

My current prediction for November is 1.25m and December 2m. Which would mean the Switch reached 5.75m for the year.

It has a small chance to beat Wii in December I think, but other then that January is the only month it came close.

Saw this thread bumped.... opened it and saw just jan numbers.... and was dissapointed.

Thanks for takeing the time to give the numbers.
Was expecting it would be a bump without even that.



Barkley said:

 

quickrick said:

LOL another win for me :).

These two in this thread won't be though.

quickrick said: 

4.5 million for the year.

1.8m in Nov+Dec needed to beat this. Which will easily be accomplished.

quickrick said: 

ok bet is on.

5.2m+ will need just 2.7m in NOV+DEC which I give a 90% chance of happening lol.

If its already at 2.5m.... and its probably gonna do atleast 900k-1m in november, and ~2m in december... Thats a lost bet right?

2.5m + 1m + 2m = 5.5m



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Barkley said:

Well, this thread never got updated after January! xD


Here's updated table.

NPD Switch (2018) Wii (2008)
January 270,000 274,000
February 279,000 432,000
March 308,000 721,000
April 171,000 714,000
May 166,000 675,000
June 325,000 667,000
July 263,000 555,000
August 203,000 453,000
September 259,000 667,000
October 255,000 803,000
November
2,040,000
December
2,150,000
 Total 2,499,000 10,151,000

My current prediction for November is 1.25m and December 2m. Which would mean the Switch reached 5.75m for the year.

It has a small chance to beat Wii in December I think, but other then that January is the only month it came close.

Thanks for updating the numbers. The Wii was truly a beast. Strangely in December the sales were flat compared to November. Was the Wii supply limited?



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Mnementh said:

Thanks for updating the numbers. The Wii was truly a beast. Strangely in December the sales were flat compared to November. Was the Wii supply limited?

Yeah I think that's probably the reason. Selling 2m in Nov they didn't have enough stock to sell more in December.



Mbolibombo said:
quickrick said:

I make bets, that i know i will win, if you can do 5.2 million then i will take it.

So you're not sure about that 4.5? ;)

No problems, I can take that 5.2 bet.

Just a reminder in case you've forgotten about this, only two months till you'll get the result of this bet.



Barkley said:
Mbolibombo said:

So you're not sure about that 4.5? ;)

No problems, I can take that 5.2 bet.

Just a reminder in case you've forgotten about this, only two months till you'll get the result of this bet.

well see, i won all my bets so far, this one i think is 50/50.



RolStoppable said:
quickrick said:

LOL another win for me :).

There's still Smash month. If your bet supposedly still has a 50/50 chance, then Switch beating Wii in December is definitely at least a 50/50 chance as well.

it won't. remember having a strong November means a weaker december these days.