Our Switch 1 estimates in the US for 2017 is a bit over 4.8 million, but yes there is pretty much no chance the Switch 2 falls behind the Switch 1 in the US.

Solid. Again, I appreciate the data! :)

Seems to be rumours on the next Warriors game, the next incarnation is said to be taking on Xenoblade which would be the third first party IP to enter the Warriors series after Fire Emblem and Zelda.

While haters will always be hating, I actually feel like the obsessive negativity surrounding Switch 2 in general has been started to subside; the one-two punch of Requeim and Pokopia, a GOTY-level third party game arriving day 1 and holding up very well graphically plus a first party killer app, really changed the conversation in my experience.

Of course, toxic grifters who thrive on ragebait will continue to spread their filth, but I have noticed that a lot of folks are warming up to the system.

Realistically, we’re not going to see the Switch 1 vs Switch 2 race REALLY heat up until we get to Years 3 and 4, when Switch 1 sales shot through the stratosphere and was selling 20M+ per year for 3-4 years straight, including 25M+ during the height of the pandemic.

Right now, Switch 2 is trying to build as much of an early lead with hopes of withstanding that mid-life cycle explosion from Switch 1.
Whether or not it’s able to do so, we won’t know for a very long time.

What I will say for now is that based on Pokopia’s effects on it’s sales pace, once first party support REALLY start rolling, especially the heavy hitters, (3D Mario, Smash Bros., Winds/Waves, Open World Zelda, mainline Animal Crossing, Splatoon 4, etc. - Maybe there’ll be a surprise new IP that catches fire and takes off like Pokemon did in the late 90s and the Wii phenomenon in the mid-late 00s). That plus the strength of the Switch brand and rapidly growing 3rd party support could make this a much closer race than anyone previously anticipated.