Club Nintendo

[PAOerfulone]

Realistically, we’re not going to see the Switch 1 vs Switch 2 race REALLY heat up until we get to Years 3 and 4, when Switch 1 sales shot through the stratosphere and was selling 20M+ per year for 3-4 years straight, including 25M+ during the height of the pandemic.

Right now, Switch 2 is trying to build as much of an early lead with hopes of withstanding that mid-life cycle explosion from Switch 1.
Whether or not it’s able to do so, we won’t know for a very long time.

What I will say for now is that based on Pokopia’s effects on it’s sales pace, once first party support REALLY start rolling, especially the heavy hitters, (3D Mario, Smash Bros., Winds/Waves, Open World Zelda, mainline Animal Crossing, Splatoon 4, etc. - Maybe there’ll be a surprise new IP that catches fire and takes off like Pokemon did in the late 90s and the Wii phenomenon in the mid-late 00s). That plus the strength of the Switch brand and rapidly growing 3rd party support could make this a much closer race than anyone previously anticipated.