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CaptainExplosion on 18 December 2025
curl-6 said:
firebush03 said:

I am back again to complain about the state of this forum… specifically pertaining to sales discussion. Reading these comments about how “PS5 just OWNED Switch 2 during November!!” or “Man, I deserve some apologies. I was right about Switch 2 flopping” is about to give me an aneurysm. Switch 2 literally outsold NS1 November 2017, has smashed 200k/wk in JP these past two weeks (thereby continuing to outpace NS1 December 2017, when a supply bottleneck was broken and 4mil units sold), and PS5 literally saw YoY (and PS4 launch-aligned) WW declines during November.

Erg… well. That’s my tangent lol. Anyways, I might give Kirby Air Riders some time today. The latest event apparently gives you a Santa hat! (I’m not gonna throw the opportunity to get a Santa hat in Kirby Air Riders.)

Unfortunately for the last years trolling/downplaying Nintendo seems to get a free pass, and there are multiple users who dedicate their time here to doing that pretty much exclusively.

It's best to just ignore and not engage, they're just sad losers with Nintendo Derangement Syndrome.

The system is still doing fine; the US market may be in a bad place for consoles in general right now, but Switch 2 is still set to blow passed Nintendo's initial 15m estimate for the FY and possibly even still reach their raised estimate of 19m. Just enjoy your console and stick with those of us who keep things real. 

But how can it do that when it hasn't had a huge release since Donkey Kong Bananza?



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curl-6 on 18 December 2025
CaptainExplosion said:
curl-6 said:

Unfortunately for the last years trolling/downplaying Nintendo seems to get a free pass, and there are multiple users who dedicate their time here to doing that pretty much exclusively.

It's best to just ignore and not engage, they're just sad losers with Nintendo Derangement Syndrome.

The system is still doing fine; the US market may be in a bad place for consoles in general right now, but Switch 2 is still set to blow passed Nintendo's initial 15m estimate for the FY and possibly even still reach their raised estimate of 19m. Just enjoy your console and stick with those of us who keep things real. 

But how can it do that when it hasn't had a huge release since Donkey Kong Bananza?

Pokémon Legends Z-A is a bigger release than DK, sales wise.

Switch 2 has sold through 12.5m by the end of Nov according to VGC; even accounting for shipped vs sold, it's probably already passed 15m, which was what Nintendo originally forecast it would ship by end of March 2026.

19m isn't guaranteed, but it shouldn't fall short by much, not with Pokopia arriving in March.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 18 December 2025

Wyrdness on 18 December 2025

DQVIIR will be a large spike in Japan for certain.



CaptainExplosion on 18 December 2025
curl-6 said:
CaptainExplosion said:

But how can it do that when it hasn't had a huge release since Donkey Kong Bananza?

Pokémon Legends Z-A is a bigger release than DK, sales wise.

Switch 2 has sold through 12.5m by the end of Nov according to VGC; even accounting for shipped vs sold, it's probably already passed 15m, which was what Nintendo originally forecast it would ship by end of March 2026.

19m isn't guaranteed, but it shouldn't fall short by much, not with Pokopia arriving in March.

So like often happens a good game (DK Bananza) is outsold by a subpar game (Pokemon Legends Z-A). -_-



firebush03 on 18 December 2025
curl-6 said:

Unfortunately for the last years trolling/downplaying Nintendo seems to get a free pass, and there are multiple users who dedicate their time here to doing that pretty much exclusively.

It's best to just ignore and not engage, they're just sad losers with Nintendo Derangement Syndrome.

The system is still doing fine; the US market may be in a bad place for consoles in general right now, but Switch 2 is still set to blow passed Nintendo's initial 15m estimate for the FY and possibly even still reach their raised estimate of 19m. Just enjoy your console and stick with those of us who keep things real. 

Well said!

Also, I wonder if there’s any possibility of Clair Obscur getting ported to Switch 2? I really hope so! Even though I’m already playing it on my PS5 (the swan song to my PS5 actually; I’m moving over to PC+NS2 starting Christmas Day), I really do believe that this game should be in the hands of as many people. It is incredible! It’s really filling that Mario+Rabbids-shaped hole that NS2 suffered from.



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PAOerfulone on 19 December 2025
curl-6 said:

Pokémon Legends Z-A is a bigger release than DK, sales wise.

Switch 2 has sold through 12.5m by the end of Nov according to VGC; even accounting for shipped vs sold, it's probably already passed 15m, which was what Nintendo originally forecast it would ship by end of March 2026.

19m isn't guaranteed, but it shouldn't fall short by much, not with Pokopia arriving in March.

Oh, it'll clear 19m easily. As it stands, it is currently tracking slightly ahead of Switch 1's first holiday season (Even without a major exclusive release equal to Super Mario Odyssey. I don't really count Pokemon Legends Z-A since that's also on Switch 1 and Kirby Air Riders is nowhere near a big enough exclusive to sell the amount of units like Odyssey did.)

Assuming Switch 2's first December matches Switch 1's first December, much like it did in November, that would put Switch 2 at ~6-6.2 million in Nov+Dec. Add the 1.4m it sold in October and that would put Switch 2 at 7.4-7.6 million units sold in its first major holiday quarter.

And that's just units sold.

Add THAT amount to the 10.36m shipped as of Sep 30th, and that puts Switch 2 at a MINIMUM of 17.76-17.96m units shipped - Not counting the additional units that haven't been sold to consumers but are still shipped/in-transit to retailers during this quarter. 

So there's a chance it could be at or past 19 million of the end of December, let alone March.

Last edited by PAOerfulone - on 19 December 2025

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Mar1217 on 19 December 2025

Btb, I will commend Nintendo for offering a software scheduling that's personally more interesting and varied to look at than what we had in the Switch's first year.

A combo of Mario/3D Zelda is cool but the rethoric that the Switch 2 ABSOLUTELY needs to reproduce the same template to be successful does not hold up against the numbers we had so far.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

firebush03 on 19 December 2025
PAOerfulone said:

Oh, it'll clear 19m easily. As it stands, it is currently tracking slightly ahead of Switch 1's first holiday season (Even without a major exclusive release equal to Super Mario Odyssey. I don't really count Pokemon Legends Z-A since that's also on Switch 1 and Kirby Air Riders is nowhere near a big enough exclusive to sell the amount of units like Odyssey did.)

Assuming Switch 2's first December matches Switch 1's first December, much like it did in November, that would put Switch 2 at ~6-6.2 million in Nov+Dec. Add the 1.4m it sold in October and that would put Switch 2 at 7.4-7.6 million units sold in its first major holiday quarter.

And that's just units sold.

Add THAT amount to the 10.36m shipped as of Sep 30th, and that puts Switch 2 at a MINIMUM of 17.76-17.96m units shipped - Not counting the additional units that haven't been sold to consumers but are still shipped/in-transit to retailers during this quarter. 

So there's a chance it could be at or past 19 million of the end of December, let alone March.

I don’t think expecting NS2 to match NS1’s first December is very realistic TBH. The NS1 shortage came to its end around this point, meaning the bottleneck had burst totally open. That said, however, I do foresee 2.5-4.0mil as a very reasonable sales range. This would place total Q3FY26 figures around 5.5-7.0mil… which would be quite impressive for its first holiday lol. That would blast past Nintendo’s projection easily.



Zippy6 on 19 December 2025

Iningames has revealed that Nintendo now offers two smaller cartridge sizes for Switch 2 games. Was already desperately needed but especially with NAND prices currently rising. The 64gb carts were far too expensive.

I'm guessing it's now 64gb, 32gb and 16gb, but could be 32+8 or 16+8 as well.

R-Type III is now releasing on a physical cartridge because of this, but even with the cheaper smaller cartridge they're still putting up the price compared to what they were going to charge for the key card.

"Two days ago Nintendo announced two new smaller cartridge sizes for Nintendo Switch 2. This allows us to recalculate production in a way that wasn’t possible before. As a result, we’ve made the following decision:

The entire European and US production of R-Type Dimensions III for Nintendo Switch 2 will be released on a full physical cartridge.

A little downside to this positive news: The price for the retail and the special edition of the NSW2 version will increase by €10 due to the still higher productions costs."

https://iningames.com/blogs/news/update-on-the-nintendo-switch-2-physical-release-of-r-type-dimensions-iii



firebush03 on 19 December 2025

Turns out I won’t be getting my santa hat after all. :(