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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Bold Prediction: Switch Will Sell 4mil Units by Years End in Japan!

 

 

Every year i make about 3-5 very bold predictions, and 1 of them is extremely bold.... This is that one of 2017. 

 

Anywayz im gonna say Nintendo Switch is going to sell 4mil (or close to) by end of the year. It will be a huge success there despite being a home console. It has the HH mode going for it

 

Just want to say thats only if splatoon 2 comes out before Sept (so delays cancels this out)

 

What are your thoughts? Can switch sell 4mil in its first year?

 

My last bold prediction was pokemon sumo shipping 15mil by years end. Was 14.68mil. Im feeling confident! (Pls dont bomba switch!)

 

 

Recap.....

 

+Zelda (launch)

+Arms

+Spatoon2

+Mario Odessy

 

And rumor Starzzz!



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That's the spirit, tbone. Switch to beat Wii U's lifetime sales within ten months.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

We would need something big to push it there. I don't think Pokemon Stars is coming this year, so either a Youkai Watch or a Monster Hunter would have to release to make those numbers even close. Splatoon 2 alone isn't going to cut it.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

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Won't happen even if Pokemon Stars is real



It very hard to predict sales of Switch at this point, only what I am sure it will sell much better than Wii U, how exactly much better it hard to say, but I can say that at end of 2018. (so less than 2 years on market) will pass Wii U LT numbers.



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Basing your prediction on the assumption that a game will not be delayed is certainly bold.



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celador said:
Won't happen even if Pokemon Stars is real

1-2-Switch will do the trick.

Even if you think the game is incredibly stupid, that's the kind of trait that can lead to success in Japan.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

So basically you are expecting wii numbers?
Seems highly unlikely.

Portable is great and all - but it isn't going to matter to THAT degree.



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Bandorr said:
So basically you are expecting wii numbers?
Seems highly unlikely.

Portable is great and all - but it isn't going to matter to THAT degree.

The 3DS crossed the 4m mark in 2011. Launched in February, but that's close enough for a comparison.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

I like this one ! supposing all the games Nintendo said are coming out in 2017 make it to their planned release date (so I'm including Xenoblade Chronicles 2) PLUS some unannounced game like MH, Pokémon or Yokai Watch then I think this is possible.