I'm telling ya people, this thing is gonna be huge. I mean, not quite Wii huge but definitely a solid success story for Nintendo and a huge bonuceback from the Wii U disaster. The value as a console portable hybrid + the strength of the library thus far alone (launching w/ one of the best looking Zelda titles yet) almost ensures at least decent sales.

Also, being released in March, it'll have the benefit of having both the sales wave at launch, as well as another sales boom during the holiday season in the same year.

Its à pic about WiiU launch with exactly thé same " sold out pré ordre" " lines to pré order" , this is anecdotal évidence  à sucessful launch among a  console life as showed WiiU.

Because you were talking as if a succesful launch would prove i was wrong .

As I explained in m'y analysis on an other page, its unlikely that this Switch will do much more than will bé a succesful handheld console, i éven have high Doubts itd reach thé average sales of à home console, based on everything WE know

You know I was doing it a mocking tone on purpose right! (I was literally pointing out the absurd beheaviour of that user above me, since he says that statement in every thread).

GIven I think that might the point you trying to make. However if no one comments on the negative nature of others, with any means, that person just continues getting away with it, without being called out on his absurd nature. 

it is expected, hope that the next few batches would be sold out as well.

The problem is, Nintendo fans are a limited audience, selling out at launch is nothing new for any device, hell it could break records the first week and still sell terribly in its lifetime.
GameCube sold poorly, Wii sold extremely well on the back of the motion control craze, immediately after the success of the Wii, we got the WiiU which is looking like it won't break 15m lifetime.
Before the GameCube we had the N64 which while popular didn't sell terribly well either.

Handheld has dropped significantly in popularity with the 3DS launching in a period where almost everyone has a smartphone and aside from the bumps brought about by releasing new hardware models of the same device, thus artificially bumping the platform totals as the core fanbase go out and re-buy newer models, ultimately you're looking roughly at a Nintendo fanbase of around 25-35m worldwide as of the Wii era, and I think that number itself will likely have dropped somewhat over the last 5 years, too.

This is evident by simply reflecting upon your own purchases, i rarely meet a 3DS owner who does not have more than one 3DS, it's actually a lot more common for me to encounter people who own more than two than it is less than two, which goes a long way to illustrate the replication in sales for the handheld platforms, something Nintendo is fully aware of and has systematically taken advantage of over the years with multiple generation releases of the same platform, GB , GBC, GB lite then GBA, GBASP, GBmicro then DS, DS lite, DSi, DS lite xl, DSi xl, then 3DS, 3DS xl, n3ds, n3dsxl, etc.

Whether or not they can do the same with the switch remains to be seen but in my opinion as long as the 3DS remains on the market, the switch will be seen as just a home console and not a portable, and that is what is going to restrict its lifetime sales.

Those thinking the switch will hit 50m+ sales are mistaken, especially if Nintendo are too reluctant to take the switch's direct competitor (3DS) off the market within the next year or so.

Exactly, finally someone who understands, Japanese will see more Switch as home console, especially when you know it has à paid online, no handheld consoles ever had à paid online, its à first that wont help Switch sales

Maybe what it means is not to over hype, we should carefully observe , judging by it's common mistake people always do in this forums. Early sales is nothing, either it can do good or bad.  Either way i am sure launhing sales are 90% are scalper and the rest are die hard fans. With that very small launh title is easly to argue only few people are interested. Let just hope they maintain the sales, at least better then the Wii U. 

Judging from COMG update today..... Zelda seems to be the No.1 pick in the launch game...... not surprised! I think Splatoon 2 will be interesting to watch on how much hardware it will sell.

Preorders only opened recently in Japan? A bit surprising, but not surprising with it selling out

Hopefully the momentum will carry through to the end of the year

This is Japan we are talking about, the Switch could probably surive on Japan's sales alone. It's like it was made for their market. Nintendo made a smart move with that as console gaming has been hitting a new low there.