There is a huge difference between "they lied about their expectations" and "they will produce more quickly if it's sold out, or stocked a lot more just in case". I'm OK with the former, the later is irrealistic. 

tbh that is the demographic you would expect to buy any console at launch really not just because it's the usual Nintendo fans.

Know how things work with reports before you throw words like lie around, they're not lying as they're still going to ship 2m, they told investors one of a few expectations they have. All companies have several speculated outcomes which they choose one to tell investors for the report, some tell them the higher range while others keep things safe and tell them the lower range in expectations.

2m is clearly the lower range which gives them breathing room if that's all they sell or if they exceed demand because then the next report in April is going to look more positive, this is also a device that was planned for a Q4 2016 release for that 2m mind you it's only launching in March because some of the games weren't running properly and they wanted a more consistent release schedule from launch.

Man, that's just insane. Ninten really needs to make more stock of the Switch then.

Nintendo cannot afford a hardware drought in Japan. It's vital for them to create a big japanese installbase to catter all of the japanese devs out there. And if they make games for them, localization is just a matter of time.

Agree.  Also, they already have the engine in place after Fire Emblem Warriors so they were probably thinking "why the hell not?".

Happens with every new console. Unless that console is an Xbox (talking about Japan here only). 

If "Splatoon 2" hits in May I believe that the Switch will maintain momentum in its homeland for good. If Nintendo plays their cards right (big if), their should be 6-8 million NSs in the wild by the time "Mario Odyssey" hits. 

I can't read your 4chan post...are you giving me more anecdotal evidence? Or is this actual solid information this time?

I'm fully expecting Switch sales to fall after launch hype dies down, and I'm also fully expecting kneejerk reactions on both sides, so I'm not sure what your point is. What I'm really interested in seeing is how the system levels out after the games that sold the 3DS start releasing. 

The Switch might do well, or not, but what I do know is that anecotal evidence really is hardly solid evidence at this point. Especially given that said evidence is so easily contradicted.

Late April/early May to me is when Nintendo is going to release ARMS with Splatoon coming at the tail end of Summer in August.  What I'm most worried about is June and July because so far, it seems like a blank slate in terms of game releases.  I'm hoping that Nintendo uses those months to release a couple of significant Wii U ports like Mario Maker, Xenoblade X and Bayonetta 2 while leaving an updated Smash 4 port for October/November as a 1-2 punch with Mario Odyssey.