By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

 

How much do you think Switch will sell lifetime?

<10M 39 4.02%
 
10M-20M 125 12.87%
 
20M-30M 137 14.11%
 
30M-40M 143 14.73%
 
40M-50M 121 12.46%
 
50M-60M 120 12.36%
 
60M-70M 70 7.21%
 
70M-80M 60 6.18%
 
80M-100M 60 6.18%
 
> 100M 96 9.89%
 
Total:971
Mnementh on 17 November 2018
The_Liquid_Laser said:
Jumpin said:

Even later in European countries, the NES wasn't really widely available until about the time of the SNES release. Even in the countries where it WAS available, you could only get it in certain cities. While I am sure most gamers and future gamers alive at the time were vaguely aware of Nintendo (mostly through old arcade machines) and the NES, I'd say most people didn't know exactly what it was until about the time Super Mario Bros 3 was announced; very shortly after that, EVERYONE knew the name of Mario and our sword-wielding Hyrule hero Zelda =D

That doesn't surprise me.  The impression I've always gotten from Europe is that they mostly consider the 16-bit consoles to be their "first generation".  I just got a retro game magazine from the UK where they voted Super Mario World #1 game of all time.  They did have a few NES games in their top 100 list, but the list as a whole seemed more slanted toward the 16-bit era.

I never even noticed consoles until the Dreamcast, so I could be wrong as I cite general knowledge, not my personal experiences. But as far as I'm aware, Atari sued Nintendo in europe and therefore made their entry more difficult. Difficulties which Sega could used for their adavntage. I cannot get numbers for the Sega Master System from the platform totals (maybe I'm blind). But the Sega Megadrive (Genesis) were more successful in europe than both NES and SNES. The initial difficulties Nintendo had in europe are also visible by the SNES selling around 10 million units less than the NES in America, but about the same in europe. And most people here know Sonic as well as Mario, and more people are fan of the hedgehog than the plumber.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Around the Network
Helloplite on 17 November 2018

Nintendo has slightly missed a great opportunity for switchs second year. Let's see if they can turn it around otherwise no more than GBA levels - which will prompt them to return to the two systems strategy.



Replicant on 17 November 2018
Shadow1980 said:
I'd say 80-90 million.

I know it's a little off topic, but I'd be very interested to see your yearly sales expectations for Switch, PS4 and XB1 from 2013-lifetime sales.

According to VGC, PS4 is something like below, right? What do you think it'll end up selling in 2018-lifetime sales?

2013: 4.4 M
2014: 14.6 M
2015: 17.5 M
2016: 17.6 M
2017: 20.1 M
2018: 17.5 M (shipment forecasting)
2019: ?
2020: ?
2021: ?
2022: ?
2023: ?
2024: ?
2025: ?



Barkley on 17 November 2018
Barkley said:

let's go with a less confident 35 million figure.

Was a typo, meant to put 85m!



MasonADC on 17 November 2018
Helloplite said:
Nintendo has slightly missed a great opportunity for switchs second year. Let's see if they can turn it around otherwise no more than GBA levels - which will prompt them to return to the two systems strategy.

They are still doing better than last year though, and everyone agrees they will have a better holiday than last year 



Around the Network
Conina on 17 November 2018
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I don't know why I keep hearing that the NES had "normal" hardware.  It had same processor as the Atari 2600.  Nintendo seems to do its best work when the hardware is underpowered.

 

The_Liquid_Laser said:

The NES had a graphics chip.  However, it had the same processor as the Atari 2600.  The NES is notorious for flicker and slowdown because its processor was so weak.

 

No, it hadn't. They have processors of the same CPU family, both based on the 6502... not the same CPU!

The Atari 2600 had a dumbed down 6507, clocked 1.19 MHz, with very limited memory access: the chip can only address 8 Kb memory and the cartridge slot limited it further down to addressable 4 KB.

The NES had a Ricoh 2A03, clocked 1.79 MHz.

You also can't just ignore the different co-processors and suggest that both devices had the same limitations, but Nintendo was better in optimization. 



AngryLittleAlchemist on 17 November 2018
Helloplite said:
Nintendo has slightly missed a great opportunity for switchs second year. Let's see if they can turn it around otherwise no more than GBA levels - which will prompt them to return to the two systems strategy.

Yeah, no.



zorg1000 on 17 November 2018
Helloplite said:
Nintendo has slightly missed a great opportunity for switchs second year. Let's see if they can turn it around otherwise no more than GBA levels - which will prompt them to return to the two systems strategy.

Why exactly would that make them go back to a two system strategy?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

VAMatt on 17 November 2018
Jumpin said:

....EVERYONE knew the name of Mario and our sword-wielding Hyrule hero Zelda =D

I think you mean Link, not Zelda.  



Mnementh on 17 November 2018
VAMatt said:
Jumpin said:

....EVERYONE knew the name of Mario and our sword-wielding Hyrule hero Zelda =D

I think you mean Link, not Zelda.  

I think that was a joke



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]