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Forums - Nintendo - Patchter thinks wii fit will not sell 10 million units,

16 million for GTA 4 lol yeah right wii fit on the other hand i could see selling around 5 million worldwide



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50% attach rate is too high. I think 8-10m is more likely.



 


 

Wii Fit probably won't sell 10million units

I could easily see GTA4 selling a shit load in its lifetime but not that much.



Pachter said GTA4 will end up with 9-10M sold, possibly a bit more. He thinks Wii Fit won't make 10M.



Soriku said:
leo-j said:
GTA 4 is going to have the biggest attach rate ever, every sinle PS360 owner(atleasr 50%) will buy that game, they should have a combined base of over 35million, so 16M is very possible combined.

 

35 mil? ROFL, you got high hopes. Want to take a ban bet on that?

Around 30million or so, I expect GTA 4 to end up with 16 million, you have no idea on how big this game is.



 

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Part of me thinks this is a reasonable prediction, while another part things he is underestimating Wii Fit ...

On its own, Wii Fit has a limited appeal and does have a strict limit to how many units it can sell. In my opinion what could really push Wii Fit to an unusual level of success (for an add-on) is that it is already receiving third party support, and if it receives a steady flow of support (potentially through WiiWare) its appeal could grow to be very large.



leo-j said:
Soriku said:
leo-j said:
GTA 4 is going to have the biggest attach rate ever, every sinle PS360 owner(atleasr 50%) will buy that game, they should have a combined base of over 35million, so 16M is very possible combined.

 

35 mil? ROFL, you got high hopes. Want to take a ban bet on that?

Around 30million or so, I expect GTA 4 to end up with 16 million, you have no idea on how big this game is.


 I think I do, but its about time the series went into decline. I feel the game will sell upwards of 10M but has no chance of making 15M. I'm guessing about 7M X360, 4M PS3 sales.



with the price point, 10 million would be a lot.



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10 Million this year? No... 10 million lifetime? Doable... as long as Nintendo ships enough for North America's launch. I suspect we'll need about 1.5 million.



Prepare for termination! It is the only logical thing to do, for I am only loyal to Megatron.

leo-j, that's pure bull what you're saying. (no offense.)

If Gta San Andreas on Ps2 managed 15 mil on a 120 mil userbase lifetime, I don't see that happening for a 35 mil userbase at all, no matter how big the game is.



Damn things have changed since 2009 began. Here are my new visions for the end of the generation.

 

Wii: 135 mil

Ps3: 85 mil

360: 60 mil

True Genius