I think it will take the Domestic front but not WW, I really want it to but damn this is going to be tough. C'mon, I'm sick of seeing avatar up there.

Can TFA make it to a Billion domestically? | |||
| Yes, explain below | 35 | 31.53% | |
| Maybe, but just barely | 30 | 27.03% | |
| No | 38 | 34.23% | |
| other post below | 0 | 0% | |
| see results | 8 | 7.21% | |
| Total: | 111 | ||
I think it will take the Domestic front but not WW, I really want it to but damn this is going to be tough. C'mon, I'm sick of seeing avatar up there.

So I seen this movie 3 times already, Opening night, then a friend asked me to go again, so I did. Then my wife's dad came out from Nebraska ( I live 30 Min. from Chicago for those who don't know) and they all grew up watching it with him. So I took my farther in law, my wife, her sister and her sisters boyfriend as my treat. Now my other buddy wants me to go, I have never done this with any other movie, however I like it more and more every time, so why the fuck not? WINNING!

People saying the international numbers are low need to remember that this still needs to release in China and that in many places Christmas is not a popular time to go to the cinema.
| pikashoe said: People saying the international numbers are low need to remember that this still needs to release in China and that in many places Christmas is not a popular time to go to the cinema. |
Even factoring that it hasn't released in China, the international numbers are low compared to Avatar. It has to be massive in China to make up for that.
Also, where did you get that in many places Christmas isn't a popular time to go to the cinema?
| Lawlight said: Even factoring that it hasn't released in China, the international numbers are low compared to Avatar. It has to be massive in China to make up for that. Also, where did you get that in many places Christmas isn't a popular time to go to the cinema? |
Generally outside of America people don't go to the cinema as much around Christmas.
Edit:
I don't think that it'll beat avatar unfortunately.
Lawlight said:
Even factoring that it hasn't released in China, the international numbers are low compared to Avatar. It has to be massive in China to make up for that. Also, where did you get that in many places Christmas isn't a popular time to go to the cinema? |
Not really Christmas, but some theaters around Europe close towards the evening on Christmas Eve, and the following morning is quite low box-office wise as well. That's it.
While this was easily the best of the Star Wars movies, it isn't quite as good as Avatar. Let's be real, Avatar takes sci-fi film to the next level, Star Wars was very dumbed down in comparison. Avatar is still a much bigger and more impressive experience.
I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.
It's showing great legs internationally, but hopefully it can keep them up after the holidays as well, that will be telling if it can pass Avatar or not.
I still think that the only way for it to pass Avatar is if it does 1.1 or 1.2 billion in the domestic box office and around 500 million in China, I hope I'm wrong and it beats it either way, but it does look unlikely.
Should be past 2 billion sometime in late January when all depends on how well it does in China.
| Chris Hu said: Should be past 2 billion sometime in late January when all depends on how well it does in China. |
Depending on it's Chinese opening and it's leg up until that point, it can reach 2 billion when it opens in China.
It's at 1.228 billion as of now, if daily holds for the week mimick those of last week (it's looking like it will have better holds but let's go with that for now), then it should do (roughly) this domestically: Wed - 30.5 million, Thu: 21.6 million, Fri - 38.8, Sat - 44.7 and Sunday 34 million, that will bring its domestic total to 770.5 million.
Now for International, it only dropped 4% from Monday as opposed to the 7% that domestic fell last week, but I will go and mimick those daily drops that should give us for Wed 38.4, THU 27.6, FRI 49.8, Sat 57.2 and Sun 43.5 and that will increase it's international total to 843.9.
The WW total now becomes 1.615 billion, I think it can then do around 120 million the following Monday-Thursday giving it around 1.735 billion. then that combined with it's China launch plus it's rest of world weekend it should cross 2 billion.
Now these numbers might be a bit high especially th foreign numbers because a lot of theatre will close New Year's eve, also in the U.S it's Friday will increase a bit less since it isn't Christmas, these would be my guesses:
Domestic: Wed 30, Thu 19 (college football playoffs) Fri - 35 - sat 42 and Sun 30 for a total of 756.9
International : Wed 38.5 Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 45 and Sun 40 for a total of 787.9
This brings it WW to 1.544 billion, and if it does 120-150 million WW the follwing Mon-Thu then it's total will be 1.665-1.695 billion, it will need a bit over 300 in it's China launch plus WW 3 day weekend which will be close.