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Forums - Sony - SONY PS4 and FUTURE Prediction Timeline

PenguinZ on 22 June 2015

Skimmed through it... Some things are agreeable, however... I will disagree with these points first.

1) PS4 will probably not come close to pushing 140m units... 100m is possible, but I have my doubts it will even reach that.

2) GTA VI will not have a 1 year exclusivity deal. Marketing exclusivity... Probable.

3) NX will likely be out next year... At the latest 2017.



Current gaming platforms - Switch, PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Wii U, New 3DS, PC

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Ryng on 22 June 2015

So, you predict PS5 in 2021???????... yeah...

My PS4 LT prediction:
2013: 4,500,000
2014: 18,500,000
2015: 33,500,000
2016: 49,500,000
2017: 63,500,000
2018: 74,500,000
2019: 82,500,000 [ PlayStation 5 year ]
2020: 86,000,000

Liftime: 90 million.



ReactiveLeek44 on 22 June 2015

You've put a lot of work into typing all of that so I'll say good job, but 25-40% of that won't come to fruition.  There is no way that it can sell 140 million.  I think it will top out around 85-95 million due to this gen being shorter than the last one.



MoHasanie on 22 June 2015

Wow, that's a looong read! I read half of it and I agree with what I read.
As for your prediction, I think PS4 will be at 110m by 2021.



    

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Soundwave on 23 June 2015

I don't think Sony has anything really to worry about for the rest of the gen.

They just need to keep hammering MS in the US market and break their will to compete. Keep things like COD and Destiny as Playstation-centric titles.

Getting FF7 Remake and SFV plus all the momentum they have already and Morpheus too ... they're on cruise control now. A price drop would be good this fall though. 

I think PS5 will come in fall 2019. 



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GTstation on 23 June 2015
ReactiveLeek44 said:

You've put a lot of work into typing all of that so I'll say good job, but 25-40% of that won't come to fruition.  There is no way that it can sell 140 million.  I think it will top out around 85-95 million due to this gen being shorter than the last one.

Why would it be shorter ?  Sonys letting MS live just enough through US market not to rush into the next gen, next nintendo console will be about PS4/X1 power so that will not be 9th gen hardware.  



beeje13 on 23 June 2015

Interesting roadmap, but you've put Gran Turismo 7 twice and Uncharted 5 and 6 when 4 will almost certainly be the last one.
I really don't think R* would do a 1 year timed exclusive deal, and Sony wouldn't pay the $100m+ required.



PS, PS2, Gameboy Advance, PS3, PSP, PS4, Xbox One

enlightenedmaster on 23 June 2015
PlayMatt said:
Too much Uncharted... Hopefully Naughty Dog will find a new way and bring us a new IP... Also it's sooooooooo hard to believe we won't have The Last of Us 2 (and ND really MUST make it)


uncharted is SONY's second biggest franchise and probably will beat GRAN TURISMO and become the biggest PLAYSTATION franchise,so they will have more of them

 

And i have mentioned LAST OF US 2 in 2017 and LAST OF US 3 in 2019



enlightenedmaster on 23 June 2015
Roronaa_chan said:
I think Sony will conjure up the Hoop God for unlimited dosh and buy every other company in the world. Global domination assured.


they don't need GOD

right now and after E3 press conference,it looks like SONY is GOD themselves

 

And their massive first party studio's will support them well



enlightenedmaster on 23 June 2015
DerNebel said:
Geez, nobody is going to read all that, but going through your predicted release schedule there are some things you mention twice and others that are just so completely out there that I have difficulty believing that you're serious about them.


my list is pretty damn easily believable and i am perfectly serious about my predictions