That will be 10 million very lucky people.

Hopefully, or else I lose a bet.

I hope so, that's a milestone.

looks probable, especially with the goldenweek, news about Xenoblade having sold out in japan (including bundles), splatoon inkoming 2 weeks before E3 and a possible push in Japan from the latest DQX expansion combined with it's actual baseline of around 40k and 10 or 11 weeks to go from VGCartz charts standpoint (didn't count how many weeks left). Also, the announced new splatoon direct might also help further grow interest in that game and the console as a whole.

Nope.

It will be close, or just barely over.

You mean in sales!Because in shipments it must be already at 10m as of March 31th(9.92m)if nintendo hit the aim of 630k wii u for the FQ4,of course..
E3 is on 16th-18th of June,wii u probably will be close to 10.4m shippements by then(if splatoon/xcx/yoshi's wooly word help...) So with the trending 300-400k wii u on the shelves,it might be 10m by E3 2015 or very close...
We don't know if a price cut will have been done before E3...;)

It probably will. We still don't have all of april's numbers and still have all of may, so its possible. It will be close

if the shipment numbers, which afaik are released in about a week, don't show a need for downward adjustments (unlikely), then the WiiU should indeed be above 10M sold come E3

Unless upcoming releases yield no hardware boost at all, which is unlikely. It should manage this with relative ease unless the baseline drops.