By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - #Je ne suis pas Michael Pachter

Ruler said:
I dont understand why is he so famous? what has he predicted to be right?


Was wondering the same, but only the "why is he famous?" bit..



             

Nintendo Switch FC: SW-6340-7643-4233 aka Renji

Steam: Lee Roid

Around the Network
Ruler said:
I dont understand why is he so famous? what has he predicted to be right?


He works for a respectable investment firm that provides market analysis/sales projections for eletronics(that's not the only thing they do)

and he had a gametrailers show where he gave his opinion about questions made by twitter fans.

Believe it or not he was usually right or at least had a decent opinion about the things people asked to him on that show.

The problem is the NUMBERS!!!

Everytime he talks about numbers....it's just terrible...it's like a completely diferent person.

When it comes to number any person on vgchartz(except ioi) or neogaf can make a more accurate prediction.



Ka-pi96 said:
OttoniBastos said:
Ruler said:
I dont understand why is he so famous? what has he predicted to be right?


He works for a respectable investment firm that provides market analysis/sales projections for eletronics(that's not the only thing they do)

and he had a gametrailers show where he gave his opinion about questions made by twitter fans.

Believe it or not he was usually right or at least had a decent opinion about the things people asked to him on that show.

The problem is the NUMBERS!!!

Everytime he talks about numbers....it's just terrible...it's like a completely diferent person.

When it comes to number any person on vgchartz(except ioi) or neogaf can make a more accurate prediction.

That's a bit of a low blow. Poor ioi


after january numbers ioi needs tough love.



Hooray! More Pachter articles and threads is exactly what I wanted!



                
       ---Member of the official Squeezol Fanclub---

i only understand 'pas' which means dog in my language.



Tsubasa Ozora

Keiner kann ihn bremsen, keiner macht ihm was vor. Immer der richtige Schuss, immer zur richtigen Zeit. Superfussball, Fairer Fussball. Er ist unser Torschützenkönig und Held.

Around the Network

I hate him. Really.



Pachter is a lot of fun. His show was hilarious, though he was a bit soft on Nintendo.



We just love to hate him.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

OttoniBastos said:
Ruler said:
I dont understand why is he so famous? what has he predicted to be right?


He works for a respectable investment firm that provides market analysis/sales projections for eletronics(that's not the only thing they do)

and he had a gametrailers show where he gave his opinion about questions made by twitter fans.

Believe it or not he was usually right or at least had a decent opinion about the things people asked to him on that show.

The problem is the NUMBERS!!!

Everytime he talks about numbers....it's just terrible...it's like a completely diferent person.

When it comes to number any person on vgchartz(except ioi) or neogaf can make a more accurate prediction.

I saw a long time ago  an article about Michael Patcher predictions and it's prediction was to easy to predict

 

Shadow1980 said:
Ruler said:
I dont understand why is he so famous? what has he predicted to be right?


Things that are so plainly obvious that anybody could guess correctly. Things like "GTA4 will sell well" or "The Wii U will finish a distant third" (the latter made well after the system was released and it was obvious that the system was going to struggle). Otherwise his guesses are only correct at a rate one would expect by pure chance... at best. More often than not he's just glaringly wrong. For example, his recent claim that the curren gen would be the last gen isn't the first time he made such a claim; back in 2009 he claimed that the seventh generation would be the last, speculating that third parties would not support future PlayStation and Xbox systems and perhaps something like OnLive would take the place of consoles. In 2009 he predicted that GTAV would launch in 2010, and he moved the goalposts twice (to 2011 and then to 2012) after it was clear that he was wrong. He predicted a few years ago that MS would double the price of XBL Gold, which was obviously wrong; he also made a similar incorrect prediction that MS would introduce a $100 "XBL Platinum." He predicted Kinect would cost $50-80, but it ended up costint $150 at launch. In 2009, he once predicted that PS3 would come back and beat the Wii by 2015. He was completely wrong about what the premise of Assassin's Creed II would be. He (and other analysts) also claimed prior to its launch that the Wii would only sell about as well as the GameCube; to be fair that was a reasonable prediction to make at the time, but it still doesn't change the fact that he was wrong. Finally, he's almost always way off the mark when it comes to actual sales predictions.

You forget about his September 2014 npd prediction he said X1 would sell more in the month then PS4 despite the Destiny bundles



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

Shadow1980 said:
Ruler said:
I dont understand why is he so famous? what has he predicted to be right?


Things that are so plainly obvious that anybody could guess correctly. Things like "GTA4 will sell well" or "The Wii U will finish a distant third" (the latter made well after the system was released and it was obvious that the system was going to struggle). Otherwise his guesses are only correct at a rate one would expect by pure chance... at best. More often than not he's just glaringly wrong. For example, his recent claim that the curren gen would be the last gen isn't the first time he made such a claim; back in 2009 he claimed that the seventh generation would be the last, speculating that third parties would not support future PlayStation and Xbox systems and perhaps something like OnLive would take the place of consoles. In 2009 he predicted that GTAV would launch in 2010, and he moved the goalposts twice (to 2011 and then to 2012) after it was clear that he was wrong. He predicted a few years ago that MS would double the price of XBL Gold, which was obviously wrong; he also made a similar incorrect prediction that MS would introduce a $100 "XBL Platinum." He predicted Kinect would cost $50-80, but it ended up costint $150 at launch. In 2009, he once predicted that PS3 would come back and beat the Wii by 2015. He was completely wrong about what the premise of Assassin's Creed II would be. He (and other analysts) also claimed prior to its launch that the Wii would only sell about as well as the GameCube; to be fair that was a reasonable prediction to make at the time, but it still doesn't change the fact that he was wrong. Finally, he's almost always way off the mark when it comes to actual sales predictions.

Good research, maybe you should make a thread collecting on all the prediction of pachter who were right and wrong so every one can see for themself if this man has credebility if everything is monitored from this analyst