Shadow1980 said:
Ruler said:
I dont understand why is he so famous? what has he predicted to be right? |
Things that are so plainly obvious that anybody could guess correctly. Things like "GTA4 will sell well" or "The Wii U will finish a distant third" (the latter made well after the system was released and it was obvious that the system was going to struggle). Otherwise his guesses are only correct at a rate one would expect by pure chance... at best. More often than not he's just glaringly wrong. For example, his recent claim that the curren gen would be the last gen isn't the first time he made such a claim; back in 2009 he claimed that the seventh generation would be the last, speculating that third parties would not support future PlayStation and Xbox systems and perhaps something like OnLive would take the place of consoles. In 2009 he predicted that GTAV would launch in 2010, and he moved the goalposts twice (to 2011 and then to 2012) after it was clear that he was wrong. He predicted a few years ago that MS would double the price of XBL Gold, which was obviously wrong; he also made a similar incorrect prediction that MS would introduce a $100 "XBL Platinum." He predicted Kinect would cost $50-80, but it ended up costint $150 at launch. In 2009, he once predicted that PS3 would come back and beat the Wii by 2015. He was completely wrong about what the premise of Assassin's Creed II would be. He (and other analysts) also claimed prior to its launch that the Wii would only sell about as well as the GameCube; to be fair that was a reasonable prediction to make at the time, but it still doesn't change the fact that he was wrong. Finally, he's almost always way off the mark when it comes to actual sales predictions.
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Good research, maybe you should make a thread collecting on all the prediction of pachter who were right and wrong so every one can see for themself if this man has credebility if everything is monitored from this analyst
