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Forums - Sales - Prediction: Xbox One Will Have a 10 Million Lead over Wii U by the. End of 2015

toastboy44562 on 15 August 2014
DerNebel said:
toastboy44562 said:
DerNebel said:
Toastboy, just a question, what is your end of the prediction for the PS4?


should be at 35-40 million by the end of 2015

Sorry, forgot a word there. What I meant was end of the year prediction and I meant 2014.


18 million i think is a given. 1 million in september (destiny bundle), 600k in october, 3.2 million november, 3.2 million december



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tbone51 on 15 August 2014
DerNebel said:
Toastboy, just a question, what is your end of the prediction for the PS4?


X1>PS4 lifetime :P   I kid I kid!!!



drake_tolu on 15 August 2014

XBOX ONE sell less than less than 50,000...
You predict that will sell 12 million by end of year, so... other 7 million.
That in 20 week is... 350,000 on week.
And XBOX ONE sell 1/7 of this number.

24 million by end of 2015?

lol



MajorSocks on 15 August 2014
JayWood2010 said:
Xevross said:
JayWood2010 said:

 

So you're expecting PS4 and XBO to sell quite similarly next year? I don't see that happening.

I'd say:

PS4: 34m

XB1: 16m

WiiU: 14m

I have PS4 selling roughly 14m, XBO selling 10m, and Wiiu selling 7m.  

Hype has been good for PS4 no doubt.  I expect it to continue to outsell XBO but I dont expect it to sell 24m in the next 16 months, it is plausible as i do have a max 33m count, however i see it as less likely than 20m.  I expect it to more or less about the same.  XBO on the other hand i expect to improve over this year.

Only 14 million ps4??? LMAO no just no. Not going to sell LESS in year 2 then 1.  X1 will improve s4 won't? Thats the dumbest thign I ever heard, not ever has a leading console sold LESS in year two. Sorry you are dilusional.



Xevross on 15 August 2014
toastboy44562 said:
Svengoolie said:
Toastboy is obviously trolling because nobody would actually believe this. Xbones are at 5 million now, if the charts are to be believed. So you think they're going to magically sell 7 million consoles in the next 4 months. There's no way you think that.


100k in the rest of august. 500k in september, 600k in october. 3 million in november, 2.8 million in december. not trolling at all. plus i think its undertracked in other regions like PS4 was/is. nice try

3 million in November? Hahahahaha thats more than the 360 has ever managed and the Xbone this year is doing way worse than pretty much every year of the 360. Plus sales have never gone down from Nov to Dec. My personal take is about 1.5m nov, 1.7m dec.

EDIT: and that is an optimistic number for November



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Dr.Henry_Killinger on 15 August 2014
toastboy44562 said:
Svengoolie said:
Toastboy is obviously trolling because nobody would actually believe this. Xbones are at 5 million now, if the charts are to be believed. So you think they're going to magically sell 7 million consoles in the next 4 months. There's no way you think that.


100k in the rest of august. 500k in september, 600k in october. 3 million in november, 2.8 million in december. not trolling at all. plus i think its undertracked in other regions like PS4 was/is. nice try

August optimistically, but September and October aren't technically holidays, and their is no way they would hit that high sales even if their where exclusives releasing then. Not to mention, I don't recall games releasing those months, at least exclusive wise.

Nonetheless, August, November, and december are pretty convincing.



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toastboy44562 on 15 August 2014
drake_tolu said:
XBOX ONE sell less than less than 50,000...
You predict that will sell 12 million by end of year, so... other 7 million.
That in 20 week is... 350,000 on week.
And XBOX ONE sell 1/7 of this number.

24 million by end of 2015?
Humm, so, 600,000 on week, when XBOX ONE not have sold 600,000 even the week before chrismas...

lol.


are you flaming? I'm obviously talking about lifetime asales for 2015 but you probably know that



DerNebel on 15 August 2014
toastboy44562 said:
DerNebel said:
toastboy44562 said:


should be at 35-40 million by the end of 2015

Sorry, forgot a word there. What I meant was end of the year prediction and I meant 2014.


18 million i think is a given. 1 million in september (destiny bundle), 600k in october, 3.2 million november, 3.2 million december

So the PS4 only selling about 1 million units more than the X1 for the rest of the years seems like a probably scenario in your opinion? I think you're overestimating the PS4 (I guess maybe 16 mil, though that could easily be higher, wouldn't be the first time that the PS4 broke expectations) and the X1 especially (9 maybe 10 mil, would be my estimate at the moment, though that could also be lower, even if I think that the X1 will have a pretty good holiday season).



MTZehvor on 15 August 2014

...I'm somewhat inclined to think this is a troll thread, but I'll take it seriously to be safe.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the Wii U sell 3 million units in 2013? When there was almost no software to be found on the system whatsoever?

Wii U only selling 3 million in 2015, when Smash Bros and Mario Kart are out, and Legend of Zelda will (admittedly this is unsure) probably be releasing, along with some notable boosts along the way in the form of Splatoon, Mario Maker, Mario Party 10, and X, seems more than a little bit pessimistic to me.

On the other hand, expecting 7 million X-Box units between now and years end seems INCREDIBLY optimistic, especially with no major exclusives launching between now and years end outside of MCC, which, while will certainly be a positive impact, is in the end all old games and will probably at best simply nullify the positive effect of Smash Bros.



MajorSocks on 15 August 2014
toastboy44562 said:
Svengoolie said:
Toastboy is obviously trolling because nobody would actually believe this. Xbones are at 5 million now, if the charts are to be believed. So you think they're going to magically sell 7 million consoles in the next 4 months. There's no way you think that.


100k in the rest of august. 500k in september, 600k in october. 3 million in november, 2.8 million in december. not trolling at all. plus i think its undertracked in other regions like PS4 was/is. nice try


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