Do you think I am right? | |||
| Yes, you make a convincing argument | 27 | 31.40% | |
| No, You just look crazy | 25 | 29.07% | |
| Honestly I expect it to be close | 20 | 23.26% | |
| I suck at predictions this button is for me | 13 | 15.12% | |
| Total: | 85 | ||
I agree with op. There is no way these consoles are doing more than 170m. Ps4 sales are going to disappoint, Sony fans. I'm sorry, but it's not the second coming of the ps2. Same goes for xbox fans. Don't be surprised if this machine doesn't break 30m units. It has a lot of room for price cuts, but all the consoles do. So I don't see that really propelling ms to do numbers that will impress people.
We never saw a generation selling less than the previous one, and I don't want to see that.
PS4 : 160m
XB1 : 70m
Wii U : 50m
It will of course not be true if the next gen homeconsoles arrive before 2018
Oh fuck... i'm only that creed that this generation will be more like the 7° that 6/5...
Fuck, i said 260 million.
170 million PS4 (yes, don't breaks the balls)
50 million XOne
40 million Wii U
| KLXVER said: Nah, a new generation has never sold less than the previous, so I think the trend will continue. |
How is it going to continue?
Wii:>100m
360:>80m
PS3:>80m
DS:>150m
PSP:>80m
Total: >490m units sold.
Just with the descent of handheld sales alone is going to make this gen sell less than the last, not to mention the WiiU or the XBone not outselling their predecessors. The PS4 boom can't compensate for the rest.
I agree 100%.
Nah.
15-20 Million from Wii U
50-60 Million from Xbox One
110-120 Million from PS4
When Gen 8 support really, really picks up, we are gonna see special things.
Yeah, I also believe somewhere between Gen 5 and 6, which would be a major constraction of the market. Gaming as a whole will continue to grow though :).
100m-110m for PS4
50m-60m for Xbox One
15m-20m for WiiU
8th gen consoles as a whole will sell much less than 7th gen consoels as a whole, but that should be expected! 
---Member of the official Squeezol Fanclub---
This gen misses the excitement. If someone thinks that this gen will do better than the previous one, he must be in another world. My safe prediction: PS4>WiiU>XboxOne.
| aLkaLiNE said: There's a major factor people seem to be forgetting that goes with Sonys long console legs - Price cuts. I think the PS4 will be hitting its full stride after reaching $300 per console and that may very well be within the next two years. Sales will be slow to start but this is a marathon, not a race. . |
I forgot about this argument. No, Sony will not have longer console sales legs. PS1 sold about 20 million post PS2 launch. I believe PS4 will do numbers closer to PS1 numbers than PS2. Meaning when PS5 is released it could sell about the same or less as PS1. PSP will probabaly sell about 15 million post VITA. PS4 may be selling well but it is nowhere near PS2 numbers or WIi Numbers (However LTD on launch allign might show something different). It is safe to say that PS4 will not sell like PS2 but more like PSP/PS1. PS2 was an anomaly.
| Raven316 said: Ps4 doesn't have that many games yet. Once fall gets here I think their sales are going to explode |
Another one I forgot to mention. When the PS3 had no games it sold 9 million in 2007. Its peak year was 14 million. Meaning it got a 5 million boost from being half the price AND having games. I will also once again draw similarities with PS2. Going by memory PS2 had nothing good at launch and sold 17 million. Its peak year was 21 million WITH the games. Only a 4 million increase. So no unless you are WIi,NES,DS,PS1,360 your sales will not increase more than 5 million from start to peak.
CGI-Quality said:
What should the PS4 be doing, in July, as a 7 month old machine? Doing good compared to what? |
It is not doing good compared to Wii and is doing worse than PS2 at the moment. So I guess that's what he is comparing it to.
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