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Forums - Sales - PS4 to lead all consoles with 51 million sold by 2016 - IDC

I still expect around 18m sold ending 2014, probably around 15m more in 2015, and probably near 20m more in 2016. That's around 50-53m total at the begining of 2017, so yes..., i think i agree with them.



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Seems kinda high. But 5 for 2013, 14 for 2014, price cut in 2015 so we get 16 for a total of 35. If they are talking about the end of 2016 then add an extra 14 to the 35 for 49 total.



loy310 said:
Seems kinda high. But 5 for 2013, 14 for 2014, price cut in 2015 so we get 16 for a total of 35. If they are talking about the end of 2016 then add an extra 14 to the 35 for 49 total.

Why would sales be dropping in its 3rd year already?



DerNebel said:
loy310 said:
Seems kinda high. But 5 for 2013, 14 for 2014, price cut in 2015 so we get 16 for a total of 35. If they are talking about the end of 2016 then add an extra 14 to the 35 for 49 total.

Why would sales be dropping in its 3rd year already?


no kiddin, 2015 could be somewhere 20/25



DerNebel said:
loy310 said:
Seems kinda high. But 5 for 2013, 14 for 2014, price cut in 2015 so we get 16 for a total of 35. If they are talking about the end of 2016 then add an extra 14 to the 35 for 49 total.

Why would sales be dropping in its 3rd year already?


In the 3rd year i figured either a new nintendo console will be out or MS will have got XBO into shape to the point where it can compete with the PS4, thereby takeing  sales.



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loy310 said:
DerNebel said:
loy310 said:
Seems kinda high. But 5 for 2013, 14 for 2014, price cut in 2015 so we get 16 for a total of 35. If they are talking about the end of 2016 then add an extra 14 to the 35 for 49 total.

Why would sales be dropping in its 3rd year already?


In the 3rd year i figured either a new nintendo console will be out or MS will have got XBO into shape to the point where it can compete with the PS4, thereby takeing  sales.

Hm, I guess that's a theory.



I hope the market is that healthy.If PS4 sells that much then I see xbo not terribly far behind but a few million, I really believe MS will get some traction when they get thier shit together with Phil Spencer in charge.


Like when Gears and Halo 5 are coming out. And Battletoads..... I still think it will be announced at E3.

This game just started. No one gave ps3 a shit chance at the begining either. Now it has done well overall.



 

Maybe by the end of 2016, but only if MS keeps X1 on the same path it is now, which is doubtful. I expect a unbundling sooner rather then later.



Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles. 

 

kowenicki said:

I'd love to see their chart for this new prediction...

(IDC 2008)

 

(IDC 2006)

Those IDC 2008 numbers aren't even half bad. Wii is just a little overestimated but the patern is correct, and 360 and PS3 combined is pretty accurate aswell. So looking at the total console market these are really good.

Not sure how they could underestimate the 360 so much though back in 2008 PS3 was doing a lot better than 360 in the first part of the year, and 360 got most of it's sales in the holidays.

To bad they didn't give XBone numbers.



sales2099 said:
Maybe by the end of 2016, but only if MS keeps X1 on the same path it is now, which is doubtful. I expect a unbundling sooner rather then later.

If MS even keeps the Xbox division that is...