why no one is quoting this???

oh wait they can always argue that most of the consoles were released in 06-07

Looking at the three consoles, do you see a path to same amount of growth? That would put us at 310 million consoles.  Even if PS4 sells like gangbusters for years getting to PS2 levels is a massive challenge and would leave 160 million consoles for Nintendo and Microsoft to fill in.

Even thinking flat growth (260-270 million) is very optimistic right now for this generation.  We could see PS4 sell 110 million, X1 sell 70 million, Wii U sell 40 million and still be 40 million short of that range.

I think it is completely reasonable to predict roughly 200-220 million sales depending on this generations life span (5-8 years).  That said, I would love to be wrong and see us breakthrough 300 million barrier.

How is Wii U is selling less than Gamecube at the same point in time so at best it will reach GC sales not a worthwhile point?  How is the X1 losing its marketshare in the only places it sells well not a worthwhile point?  You have been proven wrong over and over in this thread and yet you continue to ignore facts, hell someone even showed you hardware sales dropping year over year.  It obvious nothing is gonna get through to you.  You haven't even backed up your claims with anything, just oh well it increased in the past so ofc it has to keep increasing guys!  

Here's a wonderful example of a terrible article that says the console market is in SERIOUS trouble:

http://techcrunch.com/2014/03/09/console-crisis/

Gen 8 will sell less than Gen 7 but don't panic, it'll be entirely due to the decline of Nintendo's casual fanbase. They went from 100m Wii's to WiiU, which is currently tracking behind Gamecube.

Overall the traditional gamesmarket between the Xbox and PS will stay the same, although PS4 will have a really large marketshare.

... I was talking about industry analysts. wtf? >.>

Well, what analysts have talked about it mostly the 8th generation. At the moment, PS4+X1=Wii sales on a weekly basis. This means Wii will soon surpass PS4, I believe X360 will catch up with X1 unless MS do something extraordinary and the WiiU is lagging behind big time.

Also, developer costs have skyrocketed the last two generations which, compared to the low cost of developing for smartphones and tablets, forces this industry into a new direction. This may not be bad, but this generation will shrink significantly.

"You have been proven wrong over and over in this thread and yet you continue to ignore facts, hell someone even showed you hardware sales dropping year over year."

The very fact that you think that table carries any argumentative weight WHATSOEVER implies that you clearly don't even think for yourself. He even admitted that it was a BS statistic to use. Here it is, short and sweet: That ENTIRE data table is for ONE generation. The BEST SELLING generation. You'll find SIMILAR tables for any generation before it since there is ALWAYS a general trend of decline towards the end of a generation. Moreover, the PS4 and 360 are still expensive compared to what the GC,PS2 and XB sold for! THINK MAN!

The Wii U vs Gamecube argument implies that one should ignore the total sales of a generation and look at specific growth per platform holder. Who's talking about that!? Not me or anyone else.

"It obvious nothing is gonna get through to you."

Look, don't start insulting me for no reason. I've replied to as many posts as possible and as thoroughly as I can. Of course this generation might end up with sales slightly less than the last, but I'm addressing the doomsday people here ok.

It can't keep on growing like that forever, and 310M is a little high in anyone's books I think. This gen might end up similar to the last one. The specific point of this thread (and lots of people are getting upset and don't seem to realize this) is that there are doomsday-sayers out there who talk about the shrinking console market all the time and it's bullshit. Simple as that. I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't grow much.

wow that's embarrassing. I'm replying to a lot of comments here and some people are getting upset it seams so please forgive me for this one? :)