I don't think this one will sell anywhere near as well as the first Kinect Sports. The total price point is just too high.
Casuals would be more prone to buy an existing Kinect Sports game or maybe a Wii U once Mario Kart hits the shelves. For $500+, it's pretty easy to find a lot of other fun things to do with your friends and family.
There's a fine line between being cheesy and being genuinely charming and fun. From what I see, this game falls on the wrong side of the line IMO.
XOne Flop confirmed.
Could still be fun though. Anything that metas above 60 I'm willing to give the benefit of the doubt to until a few hours of gameplay.
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Mummelmann