i'm using 4 countries only because those are the countries vgcz give me a regional breakdown for.  the (13 - 4) 9 countries already released in are part of the 28% that makes up the "rest of the world" in my numbers.   it is kind of weird to estimate regions that are known but with the data vgcz makes availible to me i had to do it that way.

Of course there will be an uptick once it is officially launched, the question of this thread is how much.

See, While Microsoft isn't doing advertising, retailers are, and for a lot of these countries the supported languages isn't an issue - either because the XB1 is launched in a country with the same language as theirs, or in the case of Scandinavia at least, the majority of users prefer to keep the system set to a different language than their own. It is also indicative of final demand that the machine can not be sold for a massive markup in the countries where it is only avalable on import.

I realize that these are sizes that are very difficult to incorporate in a calculation without having a lot of hard-to-find data, so I appreciate this thread for what it is.

The 37 also ran countries are probably worth about 500K sales per year combined, so that averages out to about 10K sales per week.

The XB1 would hypothetically be expected to get a small boost in each new region during the launch window, but subsequent demand would be no different than it has been in the rest of the global regions where it is currently available.

So would it make a significant difference? No. Of more significance would be holding off on the XB1 launch in the additional (minor) markets to allow those in an alternate state of reality believe by simply redistributing the current available inventory in more markets, it would be seeing the same or similar numbers as its cheaper, more popular competitor.

To say otherwise is essentially calling out MS on their failure to predict the future (overestimating demand for a $500 XB1), and shift unexpectedly unsold inventory to smaller, vacant markets where demand is presumably greater than it is in all major markets currently being served.

But I don't believe MS blew their global launch in such a manner.

It really doesn't matter since the majority here thinks everything will stay the same and nothing will change

There is a reason MS aren't in a hurry to release the X1 in the countries where the PS4 is officially out because MS knows they won't get much out of it and will just hurt their supply in the countries they are strong at.

Not that much better. Its already launched in its strongest markets. However, I think launching in China could boost sales more significantly than launching in all the remaining markets the X1 hasn't launched in yet.

It'll help the baseline, but I don't know about selling more than the PS4. PS4 is still cheaper and the more powerful system regardless, giving the PS4 the automatic edge.

The fact that it will be about a year till those countries get it officially that alone makes using. 360 numbers faulty unless you are trying to relay what the sales COULD have looked like and not what they WILL look like. Every week the XB1 sells out of those countries means that when it officially releases the XB1 needs to sell more than the same % as the 360 to have the same % in the end....

Basically... those countries it hasnt launched in yet will make up less % than the 360 did by default. It gets worse when the XB1 doesnt have a head start or price advantage which will hurt its sales.

There is zero chance the X1 is going to come remotely close to the 360. 

First off, it's completely irrelevent outside NA/UK. This means that the 360's European Marketshare will be decreasing massively (the only reason the 360 even got it's install base was low price + 18 month head start). 

In NA, the 360 dominated. The X1 won't be doing that, at best they'll be at parity (50/50). Unless you expect both the PS4 and X1 to do 50 million+ in NA this gen, this means the X1's NA install base will be much lower. Everywhere else, well the X1 is irrelevent everywhere else. 

Now, someone is bound to bring China up, but come on, that'll have next to no impact. A large population doesn't mean a large amount of sales (I believe, Sony tried in India?). 

So yea, unless someone knows something I don't, I just don't see it coming close to the 360. Maybe it'll do half what the 360 did? At best.