Gen 6 total install base: ~210m (PS2+XBX+GC+DC)
Gen 7 PS360: 170m, Wii Nintendo fanbase: 20-25m, 80m Wii owners were non gamers, people who werent into gaming and went over to facebook and mobile games
Gen 7= total 200m install base (it will grow by another 20-25m due to post Gen 8 sales of PS360 so total of 220m)
Gen 8 predictionPS4 110m, Xbone 50-60m, WiiU 25m = 170-190m install base
Gen 8 down by 40-50m from Gen 7 if we don't count the Wii non-gamers. This is due to a slight erosion of casual/dudebro/sports crowd losing interest in gaming, and a mix of Nintendo+MS fuckups, unable to keep their Wii60 audience.
Still, the traditional gaming industry should have a big enough audience to go on another gen, 170-190m is huge. And we dont know what kind of an impact PS Now will have, expanding the industry to non-console devices. MS and Nintendo could follow in the era of streaming. We might see consoles without disc drives to cut costs and undercut competition. At the end of Gen 8 when platform holders cant make their consoles cheaper enough, we might see 50-100 dollar console boxes that only let you play games from the cloud(if PS Now doesnt have PS4 games by then), so sales could increase and get extra life out of it. We will also be able to play PS4 games after 2020 on non-Sony platforms via the service.There is enough money to be made from subscriptions and this is how Sony will keep earning money from its past consoles that have no shelf space at retail.
Expect heavy monetizations to fund big projects, the publishers learn from the mobile industry.
Info
Non-gamers: people who never played a game before
Casual gamers: dudebros and those who only play Fifa etc












