Pachter: “Xbox One Is Likely To Sell 10 Million This Year”

Posted Jan 31 2014 by Dylan Zellmer with 0 Comments

In lieu of the sheer insanity that ensued on NeoGAF on January 29th, I felt I’d follow-up with industry analyst, Michael Pachter, to get his impressions. Specifically, I wanted to know if the many leaks pertaining to future models of the Xbox One would, in turn, hurt current Xbox One hardware sales.

If you’re unfamiliar with the situation I’m referring to, you can check out the madness here. Within the thread, you’ll see mention of new Xbox One hardware that’s reportedly on the way before the end of 2014. When I first saw mention of a 1TB Xbox One model launching in November, possibly at a reduced price, my first thought was “People will wait for that”.

After oafishly summarizing the many leaks to come out of Wednesday evening, I left the floor open to Pachter,

I think the Xbox One is likely to sell 10 million this year regardless.  There should be that much demand, and I don’t think that most consumers read NeoGAF, so they probably won’t know that a 1TB model is coming in November.

 

Some will no doubt wait for more games, but I have a sneaky feeling that a lot of people will buy an Xbox One to play TitanFall.

I then pointed out that many news outlets including The Verge, Game Informer and ourselves had printed stories about the leaks, as Pachter had made no mention of them being cited outside the forum. Pachter insisted,

I still feel sales will be 10 million this year

With Pachter foreseeing 10M Xbox One units in consumer hands before the end of 2014, the reported 2015 launch of Halo 5 is sure to be an enormous success for Microsoft. Microsoft recently confirmed it had let loose 3.9M Xbox One consoles into retail by the end of 2013. That means nearly 6M pieces of Xbox One hardware need to move before the end of 2014 for Pachter’s prediction to be accurate. With almost 4M sales in short of two months, his prediction is highly probable.

Source: http://www.igameresponsibly.com/2014/01/31/pachter-xbox-one-likely-sell-10-million-year/

LOL funny how overconfident is he about Msoft????
10m is too much PAtchy but i wont be far

Must be nice to have a job where you make proclamations based on sneaky feelings and there are no consequences if you're wrong!

You mean PS4 will sell 10 million or more this year? Yeah I'm with you on that one.

How could it not exactly ?

Ps4 will sell more but im sure ms would be happy with 10mil

Reasonable prediction...

~18m for PS4 if you ask me.

Well that means 13 million by Jan 1st..

i wish there was clarification on what he meant by "year". if he means 10M LTD at the end of 2014, the the guy who wrote the article seems to imply, then that is an easy target. if he mean 10M in the 52 weeks following the xbone's launch it's a 50/50 kinda thing. if he meant 10M units in the 2014 calendar year he is likely wrong.

10m is lifetime.

"nds before the end of 2014, the reported 2015 launch of Halo 5 is sure to be an enormous success for Microsoft. Microsoft recently confirmed it had let loose 3.9M Xbox One consoles into retail by the end of 2013. That means nearly 6M pieces of Xbox One hardware need to move before the end of 2014 for Pachter’s prediction to be accurate."