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Forums - Sales Discussion - All 3 Consoles Are Out! The Race Begins Which Will Reach 10M FIRST!

 

Which One Will Reach 10M Sold WW First

WiiU 149 23.28%
 
XB1 34 5.31%
 
PS4 456 71.25%
 
Total:639
DucksUnlimited on 03 December 2013
MDMAlliance said:
DucksUnlimited said:
Einsam_Delphin said:
DucksUnlimited said:
Hard to say. If the Wii U ends the holiday with 5m+ and early 2014 software enables it to maintain a healthy baseline it could get there first. Otherwise, probably PS4.


If DK and MK along with whatever else get's released doesn't keep the Wii U baseline stable, then I won't even know what to say lol.


I know! But I thought the same about a lot of the Wii U's software so far, and look how that's turned out. I don't exactly have a lot of faith at this point, even with DK and MK being as big as they are.


Let's be honest about this year's software for Wii U.  There was almost nothing for the first half of the year.  Wonderful 101 was a new IP.  Pikmin has a really small userbase and never had a big opening week.  Wind Waker HD is a remake of an existing Zelda game that was on a system that didn't really sell amazingly either.  3rd party userbase on Nintendo systems has historically been lower than its competition.  2D and 3D Mario platformers are games that sell over time, and even then they DID sell a decent number of systems (meaning I think that without New Super Mario Bros U, the Wii U would be even lower), and Super Mario 3D World only recently released.  While it didn't do amazing numbers, all things considered, it didn't really do poorly.  Japan's numbers for 3D Mario platformers are low on opening weeks anyway.  

However, Mario Kart is slated for an early 2014 release.  If it does so, it will have time to (at least slowly) rack up the hardware sales.  Given the userbase for Mario Kart games, there's no doubt it would move more hardware weekly for 2014 than 2013.  Then each other game releasing for Wii U will give at least a relatively substantial boost, moreso than the other games for 2013.  Of course, I say all of this in hindsight, but there is much more to support that the Wii U will sell much better 2014 than it did this year.  Plus, December should be a relatively big month for the Wii U.



While most of the games that have released so far aren't huge sellers, it's still crazy to me that a console with all of them combined is looking to barely scrape past 2m sold in an entire year. I have no doubt that the Wii U will do notably better in 2014 than 2013, and I never suggested otherwise.

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MDMAlliance on 03 December 2013
DucksUnlimited said:
MDMAlliance said:
DucksUnlimited said:

I know! But I thought the same about a lot of the Wii U's software so far, and look how that's turned out. I don't exactly have a lot of faith at this point, even with DK and MK being as big as they are.


Let's be honest about this year's software for Wii U.  There was almost nothing for the first half of the year.  Wonderful 101 was a new IP.  Pikmin has a really small userbase and never had a big opening week.  Wind Waker HD is a remake of an existing Zelda game that was on a system that didn't really sell amazingly either.  3rd party userbase on Nintendo systems has historically been lower than its competition.  2D and 3D Mario platformers are games that sell over time, and even then they DID sell a decent number of systems (meaning I think that without New Super Mario Bros U, the Wii U would be even lower), and Super Mario 3D World only recently released.  While it didn't do amazing numbers, all things considered, it didn't really do poorly.  Japan's numbers for 3D Mario platformers are low on opening weeks anyway.  

However, Mario Kart is slated for an early 2014 release.  If it does so, it will have time to (at least slowly) rack up the hardware sales.  Given the userbase for Mario Kart games, there's no doubt it would move more hardware weekly for 2014 than 2013.  Then each other game releasing for Wii U will give at least a relatively substantial boost, moreso than the other games for 2013.  Of course, I say all of this in hindsight, but there is much more to support that the Wii U will sell much better 2014 than it did this year.  Plus, December should be a relatively big month for the Wii U.


While most of the games that have released so far aren't huge sellers, it's still crazy to me that a console with all of them combined is looking to barely scrape past 2m sold in an entire year. I have no doubt that the Wii U will do notably better in 2014 than 2013, and I never suggested otherwise.


Yeah, it is surprising exactly how low it is.  However, 5m for 2014 is also extremely low.  I don't see how it is unreasonable (not talking about you, referring to someothers in here) for me to think that 5m minimum with the games I mentioned (plus more that will undoubtably come) is guaranteed.  The 3DS can easily do over 12m in a year and still be considered only "so-so."  5m is less than half that, even 8m in a year would be considered a flop.  I think those who think 5m in a year for Wii U isn't guaranteed with MK8, DK, SSB4, X, Bayo 2, + all the other 1st, 2nd and potentially 3rd party games that can release throughout the year in 2014 are the unreasonable ones.  Of course, as I said before, this is under the assumption that those games indeed release this year and don't get delayed until 2015 or late 2014.



WagnerPaiva on 03 December 2013

PS4, then the One, and then, the wiiU.



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

SocialistSlayer on 03 December 2013
Einsam_Delphin said:
SocialistSlayer said:
Einsam_Delphin said:
SocialistSlayer said:
Einsam_Delphin said:
SocialistSlayer said:
Einsam_Delphin said:
toastboy44562 said:
PS4. Xbox One will hit it soon after. Wii U might not hit it for another couple years.


So you truely believe Wii U can't do 5 million next year, despite everything it has going for it?

EDIT: *Reads your next few post*
Oh, nevermind!

Q1 2015 is my bet


I'll take that bet, though you'll needa be a bit more specific on your time frame as apparently Q1/Q2/etc. have two different meanings.

well i dont want to actually bet anything, as i dont care enough about it to. but my guess would be by febuary 2015. it will sell 10 million


Pfft, you wimp.
And surely you mean February 2015 right?


i have no idea what youre talking about. it clearly says 2015.

you are crazy ...you crazy person you


Too bad people can simply read my post with your original post quoted in it. Regardless, it's better to be crazy than a coward.

we all know you changed it to sabatage me!

you need medication! 

 

 

 

lol. jk.



 

Augen on 03 December 2013

Well, if Sony can crank out 10 million faster than Nintendo and Microsoft it is theirs for the taking. So pick them on condition they keep up with demand as much as possible.



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Nintentacle on 03 December 2013

Wii U.



S.T.A.G.E. on 03 December 2013

PS4 first, Xbone second, Wii U last.



Lonely_Dolphin on 03 December 2013
Miguel_Zorro said:
Max King of the Wild said:
Dont discount the wii u. It still stands a chance to reach it before Dec. 31St


Of which year?



Of this one obviously! :L

kupomogli on 03 December 2013

There shouldn't even have been an option for the Wii U. There's a chance the Xbox One would get to 10 million first, a 1% chance but a chance nonetheless. The Wii U? 0%.



Lonely_Dolphin on 03 December 2013
kupomogli said:
There shouldn't even have been an option for the Wii U. There's a chance the Xbox One would get to 10 million first, a 1% chance but a chance nonetheless. The Wii U? 0%.


Oh come on now!