| Anfebious said:
So people, what's the problem? Is the Wii u really in trouble? If so, what is the problem?
|
Umm...kinda?
In terms of threatening its immediate existence, no. The Wii U isn't in that kind of trouble. It would have compound its failure several times over before it reached the point of Nintendo pulling support for it. Even if it proves a commercial failure, Nintendo will probably ride it out to a somewhat respectable life cycle, if only because they've already invested so much in it.
With that said, the Wii U is effectively a niche system, appealing solely to people who will buy a system only for Nintendo games. Granted, as niches go that's the Grand Canyon, but if you have ambitions to play games made from people who are not Nintendo, you might consider a second console.
This coming Fall/Winter period is going to be key. For third parties, if the system doesn't start selling their games in respectable numbers, we might see what support it has been getting diminish further. For Nintendo, the fate of its system is in its mainstay franchises, and whether they sell systems.
For perspective, Nintendo is "estimating" sales of 9 million Wii U consoles for the fiscal year. Optimistically (very optimistically), let's say 8 million units between now and April.
> 6 million units: Good sign. The system is well on its way to recovery, as long as Nintendo paves the way to greater success.
3-6 million units: Could be better. System will probably need a fair bit of love from Nintendo to start selling smoothly, but a 100-200% increase in the install base will help Nintendo's bottom-line, if nothing else.
< 3 million units: Bad sign. This would be a point to actually start worrying.
I, personally, think the middle option is the most likely, but the higher threshold could easily be reached if Nintendo plays their cards right.