I think it will ship close to that by April 2014.

GTA5 will hurt it somewhat, but it will do well enough thanks to next gen and PC versions.

I think it'll be closer to 2mil than 200k personally. Personally I expect around 1mil for all 3 next gen systems, and a couple mil for their current gen counterparts.

Is it just me or when you guys hear a company say "we expect, or need" whatever amount of sales, it turns me off.

I was probably going to get this game around launch, but now I'm gonna wait till its like on a steam sale or something for $10.

Ho boy. Why do I get this bad feeling that this will turn out to be Ubisoft's version of Tomb Raider where they will be disappointed that the game sold "only" 5 million copies even though it's a new IP?

It's certainly possible, likely even. The game has a lot more marketing than Assassins Creed, is on almost every platform under the sun and looks to be a quality title.

As long as it meets the quality target it's set (even if it falls slightly short actually), it should manage that.

I expect 10mill on ps3 and x360 alone

Seems fair enough, considering that it's across six platforms.

not sure where the 6.2m number comes from. Maybe Q4 (calendar year) numbers ?

I think that could be tough. With such a crowded holiday season, it could get lost in the shuffle. I could see 4-5 milion, but I dunno about six.

Tons of positive buzz, hype and on tons of platforms. Sounds like a pretty safe bet.