Under 20m, as I predicted 1 year ago

40 mil lifetime can be considered a success and give profit. But we all know the potential to sell 80+ million is there and its competition far and away won out.

Ok, just keep in mind I'm always right ;P

lol I was just joking with him XD

As far as what you are saying you ar 100% accurate.  I was including total WW figures rather than shaving off 3 months of Japan.  My prediction still stands at a 4m average per year though.  It may sell 2-3m this year but for a lifetime I expect 4m on average.  I expect the console to have a long life cycle.  with a 3.5m average it would most likely make it to 35m if they support it and dont abandon it.  Let me ask, how much do you think it will sell yearly once it has a few system sellers and around $180 

P.s. i dont own a vita so im not trying to justify my purchase like other vita members on this site.

40 million? Hmm, I don't think it can do that. Its aimed completely wrong at two markets at once and isn't causing ripples in either and that can't be changed by remote play or software or even price cuts, in the long run I believe it is confined to low lifetime sales.
At this point, Sony should praise the heavens if the Vita reaches 30 million lifetime but I say that 25 million is more likely as a max, could also easily end up as low as 20 million. A minimum of 40 million is overly high, there is no possible reason to think it will ever get there, unless one believes that the PS4 will actually "save" the Vita, that is...

Besides, the future of the dedicated handheld market is looking very, very bleak at this point and they'll probably be fazed entirely out of the market within a few years.

It simply has no overall appeal.

1-If the PS4 suceeds: 60 million, because of cloud-gaikai-ps4-stream integration with vita.
2-If the PS4 fails: 20 million and SONY goes bankrupcy.
3-If Aliens invade the Earth: Everybody is dead, also, 15 million.

I'm not just saying price cuts now am I?  I'm pairing that off with system sellers.  A console at 180 or 300 will sell nothing without games.  It needs games before it can sell well.  The two paired together is what will raise numbers.  For expample, hypothetically let's say monster hunters or Metal Gear Solid got announced at E3 this year then you would see a spike in sales for the Vita right?  That is at a $300 pricepoint.  Now that it has two system sellers people are paying attention.  Then next year they give it a price cut, and people are like hmm I want that monster hunters game and Metal gear solid so the sales spike again.  As of right now a price cut wont do it much good because it doesnt have a system seller. Afterwards though is a different story

Haha! Good joke thread!

Haha! Good joke comment!  

Don't agree, say otherwise but don't ridicule.

I predict it will sell between 10 and 90 million lifetime.