TheLastStarFighter said: Yes. They would be lucky to produce 450k per week. If you take the 5.5mil number they are actually only making around 200k. I think with the ramp up production helping things out they will get over 400k per week shipped during the Christmas season. Japan will absolutely impact Europe supply as units allocated to one location will not come to another. But my point is the same, when you look at the math of the whole situation, Europe will be lucky to get 100k per week. If they are selling 100k per week they are selling what they are getting, no matter how many times people say they saw a WiiU in the wild. The whole thing is silly, Nintendo will sell 5 million WiiU's easy. Then it will get interesting. |
Large scale manufacturing isn't something left to luck (unless we are factoring in something like natural disasters). You can't just "ramp up production" at the drop of a hat, you have to set up new production lines. At this point unless they are shipping the consoles by air, every Wii U that will be on shelves in Europe by Christmas has already been manufactured. Any increase in manufacturing right now won't be felt in America or Europe. They could get them to Japan by the end of the year however.
These things don't change on the fly. Unit allocation was likely decided months ago, and any change wouldn't be felt for at least a month. It isn't like a Wii U rolls off the line in Yantai and then magically appears in Japan or Europe the next day. Plus they'd have to make small changes to the line that waste time. Does it make sense to change boxes/materials, power cables, region locks from week to week? Or does it make more sense that they've been dedicating ~30% (or whatever is appropriate) of their lines to Japanese production and stockpiling the units in anticipation for launch. Could you actually specify what this math is that arrives at Europe only getting 100k a week? That would only be about 500k by Christmas.
What exactly would it take to convince you that the Wii U is not completely sold out? It is available on Amazon UK/France/Germany as well as other online retailers. There are also plenty of reports that Wii U's are not hard to come by. Wii U's are selling for retail or less on ebay UK. So why do you think that they are selling 100% of the units that are available? Is there any evidence that demand is vastly more than supply?
Unrelated, but why do you always break the quote when you are quoting somebody.
Bristow9091 said: I've heard the Wii U has opened worse than the Vita, is this true? I've not really looked into the sales of it here... |
Yes. Wii U did 40k first tracking week, Vita did 61k. This is for the UK.
Sorry, my early statement wasn't clear. I wasn't saying they WILL ramp up production. I was referring to the "ramp up period", the time where they starting to manufacture the console to the point where they are good at it. Specifically the period between late summer and when it went on sale. I'm saying that extra inventory, combined with what they are making and then selling, the combined totals are giving them about 400k or so a week, and that Europe is going to get about 100k of that, if it's lucky. US and Japan are larger markets so they will get a larger share.
FYI, you don't need to try to explain the manufacturing or shipping process to me...I'm an industrial engineer. Manufacturing, supply chains, economics...it's what I do. And the only way you could convince me that WiiU is not selling through is to show me shipped numbers and sold numbers that show differently..which you can't because a)you don't have them and b) they don't exist. I am 100% certain in my opinion, it's fine if you don't agree with me, we can look back on it later.
Oh, and why my quoting sucks is because I get an error every time I quote or reply. It takes several tries before it goes through. Perhaps you know what's wrong?