Soundwave said: 3DS software will fall behind the DS even in Japan (timed with launch) pretty soon, DS really started to put up some monster numbers about this time. The bigger problem for Nintendo is software I think. Even in Japan, I saw some write up that showed they've sold maybe about half the amount of software the DS did. The two Brain Training games alone were huuuuuuge on the DS, so was Nintendogs. Those bubbles have burst for Nintendo and NSMB2 is trending no where close to NSMB1. |
I think Nintendo's problem was assuming that NSMB2 would be a huge boon to the 3DS and cause an explosion in sales. It did, but nowhere to the degree of the original in the long-term as a sustained system-seller. Even the third Brain Age game has sold barely 100k since the end of July. People aren't going to buy a $170 or $200 game handheld and spend another $30 on a Brian Age or Art Academy anymore. Those casual buyers are gone, and have moved entirely to tablets/ smartphones.
NSMB was a sales phenomenon because it caught a giant population of people who haven't played a Mario game since Super Mario World in 1991. The problem is, Nintendo has turned 'New' into a regular series with very little innovation. Trying to sell NSMB2 and NSMBU in the same year, and expecting explosive sales, is a mistake. They need to tap into another market, otherwise the best they can hope for is a relatively low-profit business of catering to the nostalgia of long-time gamers.
Nintendo needs a new Wii, and a new DS. Not extensions or successors of those systems like they have now, but entirely new ideas that rope non-gamers in because they find it so compelling and fascinating.