justinian said:
As you said anything is possible. I think google tablets stand a chance of making some good headway. The transistion from phone to tablet worked for Apple so why not Google. Unfortunately I can't say the same for Windows phone.
|
I think Google will make good headway into the tablet market but I don't think we'll see Android domination extend to the tablet market like we have phones. First and foremost, Google doesn't have price on its side the same way it did with phones... Tablets aren't subsidized by carriers, meaning there are no "free" tablets from consumers. Google beat Apple to the free phone market in a big, bad way and gained a lot of market share through those phones.
Second, Android is now getting really high quality tablets but their app ecosystem is still lagging waaaaaayyy behind iOS. That will slow them down a bit in the short-term. There is also a lot riding on the new iPad Mini. How Apple markets that and the price point could dampen Android's growth for quite some time. If the Mini launches at $249, the Nexus 7 suddenly doesn't look like the world-beater it is today (still a great tablet, though).
In the long run, none of that will matter much, though. Apple is fighting a losing marketshare battle because of their closed hardware and ecosystem. They should always be a significant player in the market (maybe even holding 1/3 or better of the market) but ultimately, lack of options and price will keep away a considerable amount of consumers.
No, the real danger to Android is going to come from Microsoft. If they manage to pull off this hybrid desktop/tablet market they're so eager to tap, businesses could flock to the system by the millions. In the long run, this is Microsoft's war to lose. They have the best UI, they have the business experience, they have integration that makes Apple and Google drool in envy, and they have some great hardware ideas. The question is whether they can get their act together and win another war in the consumer computing space, something they haven't been able to do in 15 years.