badgenome said:
Flame said: The Xbox brand has gotten way too popular to fail |
The same thing would have been said about Playstation during the PS1 and especially the PS2 years. A fall from grace is always possible.
That's not to say MS is necessarily going to fall into the same trap. The back end of their console cycles seem to suck because they're focusing so much on preparing for the next generation, so the first few years of the Nextbox will probably see blockbuster after blockbuster just like the 360's first few years did. The only real pitfalls I can really see are if Sony gets the jump on them by launching first and their decision to keep their online free makes people shift away from Live, and if MS banks too heavily on Kinect but people decide they don't give a shit about Kinect anymore next gen.
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If the launch of their next console isn't bad like the PS3s was (A nice launch of software with affordable hardware), they could easily maintain their relevancy. Their thunder probably won't be as heavy next gen because the conquest of "stealing" Sony's third party exclusives is over. There's nothing to take. Sony has done well to rely on their own now. That said, the casual market is a bigger market than the "Hardcore Gamer" market and Halo, whether anyone likes it or not, is recognised by that casual market. Playstation used to be recognised by third party franchises and that is over now.
Next gen will probably be exactly the same in terms of sales, both being neck and neck.
Personally, I don't see a huge difference in PSN vs XBL but my view isn't everyone else's view. People will continue to pay it if they feel it is worth it.
I won't get into Kinect as my views lean towards being strongly negative towards it and unfortunately I have the darn thing.