By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Ode to John Lucas the visionary

@TheBigFatJ: You can talk about margin of error if someone gives correct number what someone gives a 4 million range you can say if he was right or wrong.



Around the Network
kamil said:
@TheBigFatJ: You can talk about margin of error if someone gives correct number what someone gives a 4 million range you can say if he was right or wrong.

Follow my link, he didn't give a 4m range on March 14th 2007 at 8:52 PM he gave a solid 20m prediction.



To Each Man, Responsibility
kamil said:
@TheBigFatJ: You can talk about margin of error if someone gives correct number what someone gives a 4 million range you can say if he was right or wrong.

You can read the thread when you feel like being informed before making comments.

First, if his prediction was consistently 20-24m and margin of error placed him within that range, then it is possible he's right. Due to margin of error, there could have been 20 million + Wiis sold right now -- that would make either his prediction of 20 million+ or a range of 20-24 million correct. Margin of error applies in both cases.

Secondly, look at the links provided, look at the early predictions. Back in March he said "20 million". That's a phenominal prediction any way you slice it.

I'm not saying he is wrong about the 20m prediction =P

I meant to agree with you but I was using your quote to make general comments in this thread.  It wasn't very clear at all what I was doing ;) 



wonder where he is? o well



psn- tokila

add me, the more the merrier.

Ah people stop it he just got lucky. :p



 2008 Predictions:


Wii: 44 Million
Xbox360: 25 Million
PS3: 22 Million

DS: 90 Million
PSP: 37 Million
Around the Network

Who knows? Maybe JL is reggie in hiding :P



 

 2008 end of year predictions:

PS3: 22M

360: 25M

wii: 40M

CB said:
Ah people stop it he just got lucky. :p

It wasn't luck. It takes skill to have John Lucas' predictions.



Ah well. Like many people said, he predicted 20-24 million. There are other who made better predictions. If his 60 million claim turns out correct, I'll give him props. ;)



 2008 Predictions:


Wii: 44 Million
Xbox360: 25 Million
PS3: 22 Million

DS: 90 Million
PSP: 37 Million

Hi guys!

Waiting on next week to get the full story of the ticker tape. Nintendo fulfilled my worst case scenario ONLY selling 20 million on end of 2007. And it seems it took every last second of 2007 to pull it off.

Boy supply was harsh this year for Wii! Next year should be better though.

Oh...ghosts from the past

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=857

[March 22, 2007, 01:27] mrstickball said:

Johnlucas is becoming the Washimul of the Wii world.

Like Erik said, for the Wii to outsell the 360 by July, it'd have to nearly TRIPLE it's current sales to do that - virtually impossible (Nintendo would litterally have to cut off every shipment to Japan and Europe and send them to the US until July to do that).

Stupid stupid stupid. Your predictions will easily fail in the face of reality. I am SURE if Nintendo could magically conjour up 14 million more systems, a good bit might sell. However, they can't. Thats why Nintendo won't sell anywhere near the 20m you think they will.

I guess this is why I don't see you on the top 20 list for the predictions league?

Thanks everybody! The love I get here is heartwarming. I really appreciate all of it.

John Lucas 



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!

 

johnlucas said:

Hi guys!

Waiting on next week to get the full story of the ticker tape. Nintendo fulfilled my worst case scenario ONLY selling 20 million on end of 2007. And it seems it took every last second of 2007 to pull it off.

Boy supply was harsh this year for Wii! Next year should be better though.

Oh...ghosts from the past

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=857

[March 22, 2007, 01:27] mrstickball said:

Johnlucas is becoming the Washimul of the Wii world.

Like Erik said, for the Wii to outsell the 360 by July, it'd have to nearly TRIPLE it's current sales to do that - virtually impossible (Nintendo would litterally have to cut off every shipment to Japan and Europe and send them to the US until July to do that).

Stupid stupid stupid. Your predictions will easily fail in the face of reality. I am SURE if Nintendo could magically conjour up 14 million more systems, a good bit might sell. However, they can't. Thats why Nintendo won't sell anywhere near the 20m you think they will.

I guess this is why I don't see you on the top 20 list for the predictions league?

Thanks everybody! The love I get here is heartwarming. I really appreciate all of it.

John Lucas

Way to put Stickball in his place...especially after that whole "Stupid, Stupid, Stupid" line.

 

edit....meant to put way....not wait....funny how one word can change the entire meaning.