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kamil said:
@TheBigFatJ: You can talk about margin of error if someone gives correct number what someone gives a 4 million range you can say if he was right or wrong.

You can read the thread when you feel like being informed before making comments.

First, if his prediction was consistently 20-24m and margin of error placed him within that range, then it is possible he's right. Due to margin of error, there could have been 20 million + Wiis sold right now -- that would make either his prediction of 20 million+ or a range of 20-24 million correct. Margin of error applies in both cases.

Secondly, look at the links provided, look at the early predictions. Back in March he said "20 million". That's a phenominal prediction any way you slice it.

I'm not saying he is wrong about the 20m prediction =P

I meant to agree with you but I was using your quote to make general comments in this thread.  It wasn't very clear at all what I was doing ;)