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Forums - Sales - *Where Would Gaming Be If PS3 Failed?*

NYANKS said:
Kasz216 said:
NYANKS said:
darthdevidem01 said:
NYANKS said:
Squilliam said:

The games would all be better accordingly to all the people who believe that exclusivity makes for better games, so die die die PS3!!!

Wait so wouldn't the Wii have the best library ever regardless........dear God.

Reported!

@Kasz

The N64 failed? No it didn't. And to be perfectly honest I still believe the PS1 games library destroyed N64's so that sales gap isn't surprising for me.

Our ideas of "failed" seem to be clearly different. I see failed as selling less than 5 Million. 

The PS1 library dominated the N64's.  It just so happens that some of the most famous and recognizable games ever were on N64, so it barely seems like it lost.  But numbers don't lie, it was decimated.  But not a failure, only lost by comparison.  I mean, PS1 had some notables lol.  FF7, MGS, Symphony, Crash, Tomb Raider....

P.S. One of my guilty favorites was L.A.P.D. Future Cop. Best multiplayer EVER.

Yeah, that's how I saw it.

PS1 had FAR more games... but the N64 had those few iconic games that defined 3D games (Mario 64, Zelda 64) and those few games you'd play with your friends even in the PS2 era.  (Golden Eye, Mario Kart 64.)

Of course, the PS1 had some of these iconic games also.  MGS would be right behind Mario and Zelda in anyone's best franchise list.  An not because it's not as good, it just appeals to a smaller base.  Techinically, MGS might be the best franchise ever, as there are zero missteps lol.  Also, FF7 definitely defined SOMETHING, or people wouldn't still speak of it so fondly. 

I think it kind of shows that a few epic games can't carry you.  I think a few huge games PLUS something like, oh, say, a new control system, is enough though.

They had iconic games yeah... but they weren't really in the "Genre defining" or "Frat house playing" class.

Outside of maybe FF7,  but that was just the proliferation of cutscenes... not really gameplay base so it doesn't really get held up as a standard as much.



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Conegamer said:
NYANKS said:
Conegamer said:

Exactly where we are now, but the 360 would have around 80mil sales, Wii 100mil, and teh Internetz would be boring


Nah. As is being said, if PS3 was gone 360 wouldn't necessairly be doing too hot either. 

I suppose we'll never know

But it could easily go either way...

Indeed! Oh, hypotheticals, you wonderful flamebait inducing bastards lmao 



NYANKS said:
Conegamer said:
NYANKS said:
Conegamer said:

Exactly where we are now, but the 360 would have around 80mil sales, Wii 100mil, and teh Internetz would be boring


Nah. As is being said, if PS3 was gone 360 wouldn't necessairly be doing too hot either. 

I suppose we'll never know

But it could easily go either way...

Indeed! Oh, hypotheticals, you wonderful flamebait inducing bastards lmao 

I'm not normally hypothetical actually, but in this case there's really just no telling



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Kasz216 said:
NYANKS said:
Kasz216 said:
NYANKS said:
darthdevidem01 said:
NYANKS said:
Squilliam said:

The games would all be better accordingly to all the people who believe that exclusivity makes for better games, so die die die PS3!!!

Wait so wouldn't the Wii have the best library ever regardless........dear God.

Reported!

@Kasz

The N64 failed? No it didn't. And to be perfectly honest I still believe the PS1 games library destroyed N64's so that sales gap isn't surprising for me.

Our ideas of "failed" seem to be clearly different. I see failed as selling less than 5 Million. 

The PS1 library dominated the N64's.  It just so happens that some of the most famous and recognizable games ever were on N64, so it barely seems like it lost.  But numbers don't lie, it was decimated.  But not a failure, only lost by comparison.  I mean, PS1 had some notables lol.  FF7, MGS, Symphony, Crash, Tomb Raider....

P.S. One of my guilty favorites was L.A.P.D. Future Cop. Best multiplayer EVER.

Yeah, that's how I saw it.

PS1 had FAR more games... but the N64 had those few iconic games that defined 3D games (Mario 64, Zelda 64) and those few games you'd play with your friends even in the PS2 era.  (Golden Eye, Mario Kart 64.)

Of course, the PS1 had some of these iconic games also.  MGS would be right behind Mario and Zelda in anyone's best franchise list.  An not because it's not as good, it just appeals to a smaller base.  Techinically, MGS might be the best franchise ever, as there are zero missteps lol.  Also, FF7 definitely defined SOMETHING, or people wouldn't still speak of it so fondly. 

I think it kind of shows that a few epic games can't carry you.  I think a few huge games PLUS something like, oh, say, a new control system, is enough though.

They had iconic games yeah... but they weren't really in the "Genre defining" or "Frat house playing" class.

Outside of maybe FF7,  but that was just the proliferation of cutscenes... not really gameplay base so it doesn't really get held up as a standard as much.

I think FF7 might qualify as "genre defining", considering when people say "rpg" that is among the first things that pop into the brain. And MGS.....well, you can't get much more genre defining that basically inventing said genre 

And as for "frat house playing", social type arenas.....Nintendo always has a leg up, because "hardcore" experiences were never really about multiplayer so much as the amazing experience it can provide.  I mean, what amazing games can you mention that would qualify as "frat house playing" on a PS1, 2 or Xbox that aren't big fps's?    Maybe the cult fighting games?



silicon said:
NotStan said:
silicon said:
NotStan said:
silicon said:

Welll if PS3 died it would mean that there wasn't a market for hardcore gaming... meaing games like Heavy Rain, Uncharted, Gran Turismo and Killzone failed to attract an audience. If these games failed to attract an audience then all similar games would also fail to attract an audience. This would mean that X360 would have done a lot worse then it did and may be close to failing itself. The gaming industry would shift, and gamers like myself would have less intersting games to play.

I don't know, games on X360 that can be classed as "hardcore" have done reasonably well, Halo 3 is the top selling game, second only to MW2 and it's expansion, ODST pulled something like 5.6M, which is reasonable considering all it added was 5-6 hour campaign. I don't think it shaped hardcore market but it did provide some interesting and innovative alternatives that can provide new and fresh experiences. Gears is also a good example as both gears have sold 6m apiece, with the 3rd looking to outperform the previous iterations, also majority of the multiplat games sold better on X360 before, but now PS3 is catching up and selling them on par or even higher in some cases - multiplat games of established games such as resident evil etc.


Regardless of the definition of "hardcore" the games on both X360 and PS3 are fairly similar. If the PS3 couldnt attract customers then it would make sense that neither would the X360.

But X360 came out first so wouldn't it be the other way around? :S, we could agree on them being co-dependent of each other, without the competition I don't think that we'll be where we are, but the infact the impact of either would not have been that dramatic. I think in most cases X360 and PS3 were riding off the previous generations breakthroughs, Xbox and PS2.

It would depend on why the PS3 failed.

I assumed that in order for the PS3 to fail it would mean that the demand in the market shifted away from systems that had game line-ups like the PS3. Other then branding and a few minor features, X360 and PS3 are really quite similar in terms of their game line-up.

Even if X360  came out first in a market that PS3 fails, the X360 would also do poorly.

I really don't see the logic for your reasoning. How can an entire "hardcore" market be reliant on the PS3s performance if X360 multiplat games were selling more than PS3 ones until now, you'd find that in most cases of pre 2009/2010 the multiplat games, X360 won in most cases with only few exceptions from Japanese developers, where Japan made quite a difference in terms of sales. Really, the only "hardcore" market segment that would be missing are the exclusives such as Killzone, Uncharted etc, but they can be made up with Gears, Halo, COD etc. There are plenty of games on both consoles that can be considered alternatives to each other, I don't think that PS3 made a massive impact in terms of games other than exclusives, which are great but effectively are not responsible for the largest segment of "hardcore " games.



Disconnect and self destruct, one bullet a time.

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Beuli2 said:

What do you mean? Absolutely nothing would have changed, except that the current PS3 users would have bough a Xbox 360 instead.


and the wii would be in 2nd place



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tolu619 said:
Beuli2 said:

What do you mean? Absolutely nothing would have changed, except that the current PS3 users would have bough a Xbox 360 instead.


and the wii would be in 2nd place

Are we assuming the PS3 failing is isolated or not?  Because if PS3's failure was caused by something, I don't think the 360 would necessarily be doing so awesome.  As for the Wii in second.... O_o

Only the PS3 had a shot of beating Wii this gen, and it was a very small one.



NotStan said:
silicon said:
NotStan said:
silicon said:
NotStan said:
silicon said:

Welll if PS3 died it would mean that there wasn't a market for hardcore gaming... meaing games like Heavy Rain, Uncharted, Gran Turismo and Killzone failed to attract an audience. If these games failed to attract an audience then all similar games would also fail to attract an audience. This would mean that X360 would have done a lot worse then it did and may be close to failing itself. The gaming industry would shift, and gamers like myself would have less intersting games to play.

I don't know, games on X360 that can be classed as "hardcore" have done reasonably well, Halo 3 is the top selling game, second only to MW2 and it's expansion, ODST pulled something like 5.6M, which is reasonable considering all it added was 5-6 hour campaign. I don't think it shaped hardcore market but it did provide some interesting and innovative alternatives that can provide new and fresh experiences. Gears is also a good example as both gears have sold 6m apiece, with the 3rd looking to outperform the previous iterations, also majority of the multiplat games sold better on X360 before, but now PS3 is catching up and selling them on par or even higher in some cases - multiplat games of established games such as resident evil etc.


Regardless of the definition of "hardcore" the games on both X360 and PS3 are fairly similar. If the PS3 couldnt attract customers then it would make sense that neither would the X360.

But X360 came out first so wouldn't it be the other way around? :S, we could agree on them being co-dependent of each other, without the competition I don't think that we'll be where we are, but the infact the impact of either would not have been that dramatic. I think in most cases X360 and PS3 were riding off the previous generations breakthroughs, Xbox and PS2.

It would depend on why the PS3 failed.

I assumed that in order for the PS3 to fail it would mean that the demand in the market shifted away from systems that had game line-ups like the PS3. Other then branding and a few minor features, X360 and PS3 are really quite similar in terms of their game line-up.

Even if X360  came out first in a market that PS3 fails, the X360 would also do poorly.

I really don't see the logic for your reasoning. How can an entire "hardcore" market be reliant on the PS3s performance if X360 multiplat games were selling more than PS3 ones until now, you'd find that in most cases of pre 2009/2010 the multiplat games, X360 won in most cases with only few exceptions from Japanese developers, where Japan made quite a difference in terms of sales. Really, the only "hardcore" market segment that would be missing are the exclusives such as Killzone, Uncharted etc, but they can be made up with Gears, Halo, COD etc. There are plenty of games on both consoles that can be considered alternatives to each other, I don't think that PS3 made a massive impact in terms of games other than exclusives, which are great but effectively are not responsible for the largest segment of "hardcore " games.

The way I approached the question in the OP was to hypothesize the circumstances that would bring about the PS3 failing.

You're right, that's what did happen. However, if the PS3 failed, there must be a reason, since it didn't fail despite the slow start and high price, and that reason might have other implication then just PS3 failing.

I proposed that the PS3 could only die if the market shifted away from the types of games typicall found on HD consoles. If that's true then other things must be true as well. For example, the X360 would never have sold as much as the PS3 and X360 did combined, subtracting the sales of gamers that bought both. Since if the PS3 failed to sell it means that there aren't people in the market willing to buy a HD console. In my opinion the difference between the X360 and PS3 is not that great.

It is also possible that gamers are not loyal to brands. In this case the console that was released first and cheapest would be the greatest selling. This would have its own reprucussions. Game and console prices would drop. Unique IPs might do better. Nintendo might have better 3rd party support. Etc.But I don't think there is a lot of support for this argument.

Why would X360 sell more and the PS3 sell less?



This might sound stupid... but 360 could actually be on track to pass the Wii.



morenoingrato said:

This might sound stupid... but 360 could actually be on track to pass the Wii.

Only if we ignore the reason the PS3 might have failed....which may be the case the op is going for.