I think no way, unless it gets 50$ price cut.
It can't outsell either one of Hd consoles.
Wii is down by much compared to last year and both Hd consoles have been outselling it for months.
Wii doesn't have almost anything Mario huge for this holiday season.Epic mickey, Kirby, Wii party..These don't sell consoles however. Ps3 has Move multiplatform titles GT5.Xbox 360 has "new" Slim model Kinect Fable3 Multiplatform titles and both consoles has had many great titles already released this year.
I still think that all consoles will be pretty close each other, around 100-290k difference from each other.
Will the Wii be able to outsell the Hd consoles any week this holiday?
Take my love, take my land..