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Forums - Sales - Predict December 2010 sales. 2007, 2008 and 2009 here for comparison....

I'm beginning to think I've underpredicted the 360, but last time I thought I'd done that was the Wii in 2009. I predicted 67 million to start with, then changed it to 77 million, and it was 62 million.

So I'll keep things the way they are.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

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kowenicki said:
Carl2291 said:

I think this is way too early, should be done after Gamescom as some new stuff could be announced, dates and such. Maybe even new cuts, colours or addons or something.

Anyway...

Wii - 5.4 Million

PS3 - 3.6 Million

360 - 3.4 Million

Too tired to do the regional breakdowns


if its significant then re-submissions will be allowed

Colours wont count as significant neither will an already rumoured or announced add-on.

price cuts obviously will count... (if significant)

Thats good enough for me



                            

Wii 6,900,000

PS3 3,700,000

X360 3,500,000



Mummelmann said:
kopstudent89 said:
Machina said:
kopstudent89 said:
Jay520 said:
kopstudent89 said:

I think some people are underestimating the 360

Wii:

NA: 2.2 ml   Others: 1ml   jp: 700k

total 3.9 ml

 

360:

NA:1.8 ml    Others: 1.2 ml (UK will definitely give 360 the edge)  Jp:50k

Total: 3ml

 

PS3:

NA:800k   Others: 1 ml    Jp: 400k

total:2.2 ml

 

However too early to say, depends if any of the companies have something up their sleeves(imo wii can afford another major pricecut)

I think you added incorrectly for 360. 1.8m plus 1.2m plus 50k = 4m ?

Woooops Sorry :) thanks

You just changed your mind quite dramatically there :p

No it's also that i didnt take UK numbers into considerations, and that changes things a bit :P

 

Last change:

Wii: 3.9 mil

360: 3.6 mil

PS3: 2.2 mil 

 

Sorry abt the fuss :) :P


You say that people underestimate the 360, yet you predict yourself that the Wii will drop by roughly 50% (it will drop but that is a vertical dive) and the PS3 will be down by 35-40% despite being about 25-30% up yoy in 2010? Makes little sense.

Then again; to each his own. Predictions are just that, predictions.

IT's up YoY before the pricecut slim... that will wear off this holliday season, and the 360 will surge imo. Wii will be down, cuz it's already down by alot. You have to take account the holidays itself, the wii had pricecut NSMB, plus the just dance bump. This year kirby adn DK will probably influence japan the most, with NA second, but i doubt in EU they will have any sort of impact. Unless they announce something big, i see a big drop for the Wii.

If you look at the trnds recently, PS3 and Wii are really close now, with 360 on a high. And for me the 360 has by far the biggest lineup for the west, and i think kinect will have some sort of impact (maybe if they drop the price the it would be bigger). 

Also Japan numbers last year were strong for both consoles, but you think PS3 or Wii can have similar figure? i doubt... FF13 and NSMB are probably the biggest games on each console respectively for this gen. Kirby DK might give Wii alift, but not enough.

Anyways i might be wrong with all of this :P Just dont say i didnt think it through, and im throwing numbers about. :)



X360: 4,600,000

Wii: 4,200,000

PS3: 3,600,000

I predict that the Wii will gain a boost in hardware sales in Autumn/Winter but will still not end X360's current dominance this year. 



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Wii - 5,7M

360 - 3,8M

ps3 - 2,9M

total = 12,4M



Is the deadline till the end of November?



Gilgamesh said:

Is the deadline till the end of November?

nope. two weeks from 07/26

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=3549853



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

Wii 6.2 Million WW

360 3.5 Million WW

PS3 3.1 million WW



December 2010 sales predictions:

Wii = 6 million.

360 = 4 million

PS3 = 3 million

Total = 13 million