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Forums - Sales - Will Nintendo DS still overtake PS2 as best selling system of all time?

Netyaroze said:

The VGChartz PS2 numbers are incorrect. Since it doesnt track all territorys. 136 Million was reached long ago. BTW its not allowed to track replaced consoles as sold UNLESS the customer had to pay for the replacment if the warranty was expired. Dont know who said it but I would appreciate a link, aslong as I remember it would be illegal to increase the numbers in such a way since the (potential) shareholders would be fooled.

 

Dont know if DS will outsell it, it depends how big the Drop off will be after 3DS launched PS2 is about 15 Million ahead. So it can be reached pretty quick. Sony cant say we sold xxx Million PS2 when in reality they sold less. Thats illegal and there are rules what can be count and what not you can count a device which was replaced but only if the Customer paid for it atleast the production costs.

 

That was me

 

VGChartz numbers are correct. Those regions which aren't tracked are still estimated so that is nonsense

 

As for it being illegal - how could it possibly be illegal to say "We manufactureed x copies of this hardware"? Certainly, if they said "retailers have sold x many of this hardware to consumers" then it would be a crime (Only if it was done in an investor statement btw, you can say pretty much what you want in media brieifings)

 

As for actual evidence - That's like claiming that gravity acts up and demanding I go out of my way to prove you wrong. Do your own research. I would try looking at Sony financial statements before April 2007 :)



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Yes even if you do not count the 3DS as a DS.



It makes sense to PS2 to continue selling and selling and selling, but for some reason, some of these people think the DS will suddenly stop selling.



The problem with PS2 shipment figures is that Sony changed accounting methods in 2007 from production shipments (ie: units produced or even just ordered) to the industry standard sold (ie: shipped to retail).  The issue comes because they never gave out  an official corrected ltd in their financial reports (though The Source found one in a PR once upon a time iirc) and as such anyone who just adds up the figures from before and after accounting changes, is double counting around 5m units and automatically inflating the ltd (this is what all the 145m figures are afaik). I'm not sure, maybe The Source could drop in and give us the correct figures?  

Another issue with comparing shipment figures directly though is that Sony includes Chinese PS2 sales (they're done via SCEH, SCE's Hong Kong subsidiary) while Nintendo doesn't report on Chinese DS sales (which are handled by iQue, a Nintendo start up).  GBA's also at this disadvantage, we have no idea idea how many units it's sold via iQue either.  And if you want to consider the iQue console an N64, then that system as well.



VG Console and Handheld VG Console are two different things, even on the front page of this site they are separated.

Of course, nothing prevent us from comparing whatever we want, in this case PS2/Slim and DS/Lite/i/iXL, and I think that in the end DS will be sold more units.



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M.U.G.E.N said:

A handheld vs a home console? lol really?

and yea btw I heard PC outsold all consoles and handhelds combined...of ALL TIME! :P moving on to a better topic now



Ha Ha HA yea really aren't you clever. That is what the thread is about one dedicated gaming system selling more than another gaming system.  The pc is not generally a dedicated gaming machine



M.U.G.E.N said:

A handheld vs a home console? lol really?

and yea btw I heard PC outsold all consoles and handhelds combined...of ALL TIME! :P

So did McDonald's hamburgers :P



"Jesus said to him, 'I am the way, the truth, and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me.' " ~John 14:6 (NKJV)

I'm sure that the DS will pass the ps2 in hardware.  Software is another story.  Will have to see what the wii can do.



scottie said:
Netyaroze said:

The VGChartz PS2 numbers are incorrect. Since it doesnt track all territorys. 136 Million was reached long ago. BTW its not allowed to track replaced consoles as sold UNLESS the customer had to pay for the replacment if the warranty was expired. Dont know who said it but I would appreciate a link, aslong as I remember it would be illegal to increase the numbers in such a way since the (potential) shareholders would be fooled.

 

Dont know if DS will outsell it, it depends how big the Drop off will be after 3DS launched PS2 is about 15 Million ahead. So it can be reached pretty quick. Sony cant say we sold xxx Million PS2 when in reality they sold less. Thats illegal and there are rules what can be count and what not you can count a device which was replaced but only if the Customer paid for it atleast the production costs.

 

That was me

 

VGChartz numbers are correct. Those regions which aren't tracked are still estimated so that is nonsense

 

As for it being illegal - how could it possibly be illegal to say "We manufactureed x copies of this hardware"? Certainly, if they said "retailers have sold x many of this hardware to consumers" then it would be a crime (Only if it was done in an investor statement btw, you can say pretty much what you want in media brieifings)

 

As for actual evidence - That's like claiming that gravity acts up and demanding I go out of my way to prove you wrong. Do your own research. I would try looking at Sony financial statements before April 2007 :)

Except you are the one who made the claim, so you would have to be the one to back it up.  Debate doesn't work like this: "Here's what I believe.  I have nothing to back that up, but you try to prove me wrong.  And if you can't, I win and what I said is fact."

I think this whole thing is kinda rediculous.  I mean it only looks at total units sold.  Not any other factors.  Such as inflation, availibilty at launch, launch prices, industry/population growth since launch, and competition.  If we take these things into account, you can see that the DS has the advantage.  This is like saying Avatar is the most successful movie just based on revenue without inflation (something many do).  But the second you take inflation into consideration, Avatar loses that title to a dozen or so movies.  Even more if other factors are taken into account.

Inflation and Launch Prices: The launch price of the PS2 was $300 USD, which today would have been more like $380.  The DS was launched at the price of $150 USD in 2004, or $173 when adjusted for inflation, so only a ~ $20 difference.  But even without inflation, it's pretty rediculous to expect the comparison to be fair.

Availability: When the PS2 launched there was extreme supply issues for about a year due to manufactoring delays.  Many were sold on Ebay for thousands apiece.  I don't recall any of that happening for the first year of the DS's launch.

 Industry/Population Growth:  While world population growth does affect things (studies estimating it grew by 383 mil from 2000 to 2005),  more important is the size that the industry has grown since the days of the PS2.  A lot of this actually has to do with the large success of the PS2.  For the first time in any gen, we have room for 3 home consoles, with the leader already selling over 70 mil units without even breaking 50% marketshare.  The other two have both sold over 35 mil units, an amount few consoles see.  Their are more gamers out there today, so more people to buy today's consoles.

Competition:  This is probably one of the most important factors.  The PS2 had to compete against not one console (16-bit gen).  Not 2 (this gen).  But 3 consoles.  The first being the Dreamcast, which launched more than a year before it in most regions (1 1/2 yrs in Japan).  Then about a year after launch, the Gamecube and X-Box were released, with many analysts believing that gen would be a neck and neck race between those three.  The handheld market, however, is pretty much looked as a seperate entity.  DS really had only one competitor, the PSP.  Not to mention Japan's complete embrassment of handheld's this gen.

At least in the PS2/GBA comparison, they were released in the same gen, with the same monetary value.  But still, the GBA was launched for ~ $200 less than the PS2, and had no real competition.  So, I can see why some claim it a real accomplishment when it outsold the GBA by the margin it did.  Though, I still think comparing handhelds to consoles like this is kinda silly.



its just a matter of time really...





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