Dudes, I just had the wackiest vision, that when the ps3 outsells xbox360, the xbox360 would make a comeback and outsell the ps3!
(please don't take that seriously).

GT5 will be the differcne. and the past doesn't always repeat it's self. all Halo core fans should have a console by now. sony with it's larger Library (larger then the 360's)this fall will be there biggest advantage. i hope they all have a good season over all, and i don't care about leads. i own a we to. 360's indecline. did you hear that?

There's a chance that it could move up to second place. Not saying how high the chance is, but it could happen.

I don't think PS3 will beat 360 by the end of this generation. But i also pretty sure that Sony wont pull the plug on PS3 before long after next generation is here. So in 2015 maybe the PS3 will have passed the 360 maybe sooner, but i do not think it will happen this gen, unless the next generation of consoles doesn't come out before 2013-2014.

Even if natal turns out to be a flop, 360 will sell more than PS3 from september 14 and for the rest of the year unless Sony does something really crazy like $50 price cut.

The ps3 has a chance because of japan. Like others have said we have to wait to see if Natal is going to be as successful and microsoft believes it is going to be.

If there is a 360 slim, I doubt the PS3 will pass the 360 worldwide before the next Xbox is released.

If there isn't a 360 slim, the PS3 will beat the 360 LTD.

The slim, amongst other things, encourages rebuys. Especially in light of a new probably bundled device(Natal) and the fact that the RRoD stigma could be rebutted with a redesign.

I find it very hard to believe that Microsoft would let Sony win, when they have so many tricks up their sleeve, and they can afford to pull them, unlike Sony, who can't afford it. MS said at E3 that they will end up beating Sony this generation, and I believe that they have a strategy to make that prediction come true.

That said, in their minds, and in mine, the generation is over when the first next gen console is released. It's kind of a hollow victory to cheer the PS3 passing the 360 several years into next generation. Especially considering how high hopes were for Sony at the end of last generation.

There is little doubt that Microsoft took the Xbox brand from non-existence to equal placing with the Playstation brand inside of 2 generations. If you want to talk about the "pace" of things, where does that put the next Xbox relative to the next Playstation next gen. Imagine if Microsoft actually makes their next console where it doesn't die on a regular basis.

Sony made some DUMB moves this gen, bigtime. Especially at the beginning of the generation. As dumb as I've ever seen in business. They paid for it by dropping rapidly to 3rd place and staying there for years. If they blunder like that again, it's over.

The question is when is the PS3 going to under $200. It did wonders for both 360 and Wii, but i don't see it happening anytime soon. Besides even if things stay the same as is now, Ps3 won't surpass 360 until early 2012 end then a new console will surely have been announced(or the end of the world, one of the two).

A more interesting question however is, could PS3 sell the most software per consolen( the highest tie ratio).

So that would mean the PS3 peaked in 2009, and that 2010 onward would sell less each year.

2010: 11 million

2011: 9 million

2012: 7 million

So if nothing happened to change sales of the 360 for which we have no estimates since MS doesn't believe in that junk, it would take until 2012 for the PS3 to pass the 360.

But I have a feeling this year will be the 360's peak year and the PS3 will maybe match last year's performance but not reach anywhere near 15 million.

Name the other 7 generations of handhelds you cant because they are on their own generation scale thus the PS3 will beat the 360 imo and depending on how soon the WII2 launch happens might come close to making up that gap by year 10.