Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the PS4 be able to stay above 50% market share?

Do you think it'll be over 50% when all's said and done?

Yes 35 45.45%
 
No 42 54.55%
 
Total:77

According to VGChartz's front page hardware totals, PS4's market share is currently 57.1%.

However, in order to maintain/increase this percentage, it must outsell Switch and Xbox One combined; each week that it doesn't, its market share decreases.

Once PS4/Xbone/Switch reach their final numbers, do you think PS4 will still have a majority marketshare, or will it have fallen below 50%?

Last edited by curl-6 - on 18 December 2018

Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series X will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

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Nope. Switch is gen 9 though.



curl-6 said:

The PS4 currently stands at a market share of 57.1%.

However, in order to maintain/increase this percentage, it must outsell Switch and Xbox One combined; each week that it doesn't, its market share decreases.

Once PS4/Xbone/Switch reach their final numbers, do you think PS4 will still have a majority marketshare, or will it have fallen below 50%?

Not sure why you're including the Switch, but the PS4 should easily have 50% market share between itself/X1/Wii U as all 3 dedicate home consoles were released about a year apart.

It would not have a 50% market share if the 3Ds/Vita are included and the same can be said for the Switch.



Unlikely, as I'd say Switch will reach at minimum 80m sold and I can see X1 topping 55m. With the WiiU figured in that would mean ~150m for PS4 to maintain 50% and even if we take that out 135m+ seem a bit too steep a mountain to climb.



Not sure if the OP is talking about 2018 or generation 8.

If 2018, then the answer is definitely "no". If generation 8, then it needs to be compared to XB1 and Wii U. In this case, yeah it's going to stay above 50%.



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Depends on the criteria. If you count Switch as 8th gen, it will continue to shrink (though the impact has already made its mark), but if it isn't, then the total should be well above even the 57.1% we have here.



                                                                                                             

LT PS4 vs Xbox and Switch, then no



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Say the next generation begins 2020 and the PS4 does 130m and the X1 55m, then the Switch couldn't do more than 75m. I think it's more likely than not that the Switch surpasses the 3DS, though not by a large ammount, so likely not, unless its successor is coming no later than holidays 2022.

But... it'll do it up to the end of its time as the current Sony console. And also if you count the Wii-U instead of the Switch obviously.



 

 

 

 

 

In terms of 8th gen home consoles it has it on lock



No, Switch should be able to sell at least 70 million+.

However if it is against the X1 and Wii U then sure.