RolStoppable said:
I don't think Nintendo will let dry up Switch software in 2024, so shipments of 2m+ are doable in every quarter. This means the holiday quarter needs to be somewhere between 4-5m. It's not crazy high. I don't agree with the prevalent assumptions that Nintendo won't offer better SKU options eventually or that Nintendo will kill off Switch sales in an attempt to get its successor off to a better start. The smooth transition period from the 3DS to Switch is something that Nintendo will want to replicate, because we can expect a significant price difference between Switch Lite and the Switch's successor, plus I fully expect Nintendo's software pricing to get raised by 10 bucks across the board. It's going to be a pretty normal gen to gen difference in pricing, so it makes sense to keep Switch going even after its successor has launched, and allow it to run its course like the 3DS was allowed to. |
I feel like agreeing. Yes, Nintendo has a history of killing off their old hardware in favor of their new hardware. But there are signs of change. The most important is, how much they now talk about the disruption a new gen creates. That points towards backwards compability, that they want to keep digital purchases from Switch on Switch 2 and I feel also like they want to keep Switch around for a while as a lower-priced entry console. That would've multiple advantages. Lower price reduces a hurdle for some people, so they can reach new demographics. As these new owners still would buy some games Nintendo could make money while they have to deal with the lower install base of the new hardware. If Switch 2 is backward compatible this also means these new Switch owners are building a library they could take to the new device if they jump ship later, even years later. And it could start people on being addicted on Nintendo games. I think keeping the Switch around for a time with the successor on the market, at lower price and produced in low volumes might be beneficial for Nintendo.
