Famitsu Sales: Week 44, 2022 (Oct 24 - Oct 30)

[XtremeBG]

Doctor_MG said:

I specifically stated it'd have to sell an average of 100k in my post, but with next week likely being over 100k and at least one week being almost 200k there would have to be multiple weeks of 50k (or almost all of the weeks aside from those to being 75k) for it to average that way. My math does check out. 

If next week is, say, 150k and there is another week with 200k that is 350k with 6 weeks remaining to only sell 450k, which is 75k for the remainder of the weeks (which doesn't make sense) or multiple 50k weeks with some 100k+ weeks. Neither of those make sense.

 What's the point of offering a lowest prediction if you don't think it will hit that low? Clearly you do think it's a possibility. I'm saying it won't. Your max should be closer to the min. Your min shouldn't exist. Especially if you think that it will hit 100k weekly with some 150k and 200k. That means it will guaranteed not hit 800k. Your math is what doesn't check out. 

When Splatoon 3 themed Switch launched the console sold 180k in Japan and then 130k the week after. So Pokemon will absolutely give it a boost this year because Splatoon 3 did just two months ago. 

First of all I am copying here my added text to my last post:

P.S. You've probably saw wrong. I gave 800k to 1M for the worldwide weekly numbers for the Switch. For my prediction for japan I said no more than 1M for november + december.

So as you can see I've never ever gave 800k prediction for japan, but instead 1M at most, my 800k prediction was for worldwide week numbers.

Second, why are you calculating that the 200k week have to be other than the next ? I said there may be one fluke week with 200k. So that may very well be the next one. It's counted toward november .

And when you taking my 1M into calculation you get that there is 800k left for 7 weeks. Which is around 120K per week on average for every holiday week going ahead for the Switch. Why not ? The point of offering a range is because the numbers are in hundreds and no one can't predict exact number, or if actually succesed it will be very big luck when you are working with hundreds and thousands. That's why the range is more adequate. But for japan specifically I've said 1M at most in my previous post. The range was for the worldwide weekly numbers.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 04 November 2022