Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Mnementh]

JRPGfan said:

vivster said:
Hope Germany can get this second wave under control. Actually we're already past the point where we should have implemented a wide spread lockdown again. I demand a statement from Angie who promised that there would be localized lockdowns if it broke out regionally again, but that never happened.

Germany is 84,000,000 or so..... you guys had 700 new cases yesterday.
Its a big country.

Imagine if accross the entire USA, they found ~2700 cases (usa pop vs germ pop, multipled by germans daily numbers),
and said "we need to shut things down again"? They daily have 55,000-65,000 new cases.
Meanwhile they are like "this is fine, it'll all just go away soon, cant let the cure be worse than the cause"

Hell even denmark we had 100 cases yesterday, and we're a much smaller country than germany.
So germany honestly isn't so bad off with infections yet.

First of all, the 700 cases is the weekend decrease, it was already going up towards 1500 a day. But that isn't even the important part. The important part is: if numbers increase, and nothing is changed so that the reasons why numbers are rising are kept, then the increase will become faster and faster over time. The reason is simple. If ten infected people themself cause say 15 new infections, then 100 people cause 150 and 1000 people cause 1500. So as long as the growth rate is staying the same, the faster the infection will spread over time. If you stop that early on, than it will never reach big numbers.