PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[Mnementh]

DonFerrari said:

Mnementh said:

Thanks alot for this. Data always beats assumptions. According to this we could expect that launching in the holidays might give a boost of 5-10% of the sales of the first half year - at least in Japan.

To the people claiming this can't be because supply constraints dominating sales: Supply is dependent on how much the company produces. The underlying assumption in your argument is, that this number is constant. But while there is no infinite production capacity, the production is strongly dependent on how much the console cpmpany orders from manufacturers like Foxconn, Pegatron and the like. So, they look at preorders, market research and some common sense and make educated guesses how much they do order. So in the holidays their research indicates higher demand, so they probably supply more units. This explains the data Shadow compiled.

Yes. And is that valid for products that even after reading demand they fail to meet for 2 years?

Dunno what was the case with Wii. Nintendo was probably overly conservative and didn't wanted any stock staying in storerooms. Well, they had plenty of units in storage with the WiiU.

But the Wii is the outlier here. Which other console had supply constraints over an extended period of time globally? Look, the Switch goes well, but is by now long available in most parts of the world. Dunno if Japan is still supply constrained, but maybe they still can't access supply correctly there or demand is increasing in the time they ramp up production and so invalidating the earlier research. But in the US or europe Nintendo meets demand. Same for PS4, it was not for long supply constrained.