@Ail

predictions are a tough busness no matter how you look at it.

at lest he tried and failed which is better thannot trying at all.

I dont think a wii pricecut would honestly matter at this point.. ppl dont buy wii coz their cheap or dont buy them coz theyr expensive.. they buy them cause its "IN" and it has motion controls...

360 is pushing sales and honestly the sweetest deal would be a pro at 199 that would rattle the market completely..

PS3 still has some big ones in its kitty.. pricecuts, GT5, FF in japan

so would the wii go to 60%??.. unlikely.. mario is out, smash bros is out, zelda is out, metroid is out,mario kart is out.. most of the major Nintendo titles have seen the light of day.. would we see second round of sequels on the wii.. likely.. and that would push sales.. but overall i think the wii is going to sell around the same level it currently has or a lil lower..

the max i would give wii is 55%.. but with ps3 growing and 360 showing no signs of slowing down.. the market share is more likely to stabilize, rather than grow.

Never, it won't even hit 50%, definitely not the way console sales are going now.

   As for Wii reaching 80 million in 2009, it depends on how much stock they release at the Holidays, last year and the year before, they ran out of Wii's at holiday time, so we'll have to see if they have enough this year

And all it needs is 76 million by the end of 2010 to ovetake the PS2, which is at 124 million sold so far, again this is very doable if they have neough supply

 No, sorry, but even if its the "in thing", price still has an effect on whether people buy, a lot of people are going to wait until its cheaper, before they buy it

HD consoles got big releases ?

HD consoles got Re5, Halo Wars and KZ2, those 3 titles are hardly the biggest HD console releases.

You make it sound like GTA5, GT5 and God of Wars 3 were all released in Q1...

Well Wiis are in stock at most retailers right now and are hardly flying off the shelves, so supply will not be the reason why Wii fails to meet your predictions....

As for Holydays 2008, most retailers only ran out of stock in December and at most the effect was 1 million less Wii sold than possible....

The Wii is at 50 million console sold.

It is not going to sell 30 million consoles in the next 7 months, it won't even sell 20 millions........

It's time to get back to earth, the Wii sold 1 million units in April, not 4 millions...........

actually that seems impossible. 2 get 60 percent it would have to sell 180million, because i think that both the xbox and ps will sell rooughly 60mil each.

180!!!

 Ummm...You don't know that it was only 1 million, for one thing it wasn't just in december that it ran out, the system was constantly being sould out of stock at stores, why do you think there were lines for outside stores even last holidays.  And right now the Wii is in stock, yeah, it was in stock last summer as well, but by Holidays it was sold out, the question isn't whether it is in stock now, but whether it will be in stock constantly throughout the holidays, without the need for people to line up.

April sales have no real bearing on how it will sell over the course of the year, april isn't a peak sales month nor were many big games released for Wii in April

Every month of low sales makes reaching your prediction even harder as you will have to make up for those sales somehow later in the year....

There is no comparison with the limited stocks available last summer ( most retailers had Wii on display for 2-3 days every week) and the fact that since February this year Wii have been available everywhere ( and seeing how Nintendo supposedly produces 2.4 million units a month they must have been filling warehouses these last 2 months).