Wii market share the road to 60% or are we there yet?

[Ail]

Avinash_Tyagi said:

Ail said:

Avinash_Tyagi said:

Ail said:

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Actually it'll get easier for the Wii to breach 60% over time, just on the basis of lifespan, much like the PS2 is continuing to sell, even after the GCN and Xbox are already gone

 

I don't think any single prediction in your sig ever happened or has a chance of happening so pardon me if I don't take this at face value...

90 millions extra Wii sold before end of 2010 ? No way.

35 millions Wii sold in 2009 ? No way...

 

   As for Wii reaching 80 million in 2009, it depends on how much stock they release at the Holidays, last year and the year before, they ran out of Wii's at holiday time, so we'll have to see if they have enough this year

And all it needs is 76 million by the end of 2010 to ovetake the PS2, which is at 124 million sold so far, again this is very doable if they have neough supply

Well Wiis are in stock at most retailers right now and are hardly flying off the shelves, so supply will not be the reason why Wii fails to meet your predictions....

As for Holydays 2008, most retailers only ran out of stock in December and at most the effect was 1 million less Wii sold than possible....

The Wii is at 50 million console sold.

It is not going to sell 30 million consoles in the next 7 months, it won't even sell 20 millions........

 

It's time to get back to earth, the Wii sold 1 million units in April, not 4 millions...........

 

 

 Ummm...You don't know that it was only 1 million, for one thing it wasn't just in december that it ran out, the system was constantly being sould out of stock at stores, why do you think there were lines for outside stores even last holidays.  And right now the Wii is in stock, yeah, it was in stock last summer as well, but by Holidays it was sold out, the question isn't whether it is in stock now, but whether it will be in stock constantly throughout the holidays, without the need for people to line up.

April sales have no real bearing on how it will sell over the course of the year, april isn't a peak sales month nor were many big games released for Wii in April

Every month of low sales makes reaching your prediction even harder as you will have to make up for those sales somehow later in the year....

There is no comparison with the limited stocks available last summer ( most retailers had Wii on display for 2-3 days every week) and the fact that since February this year Wii have been available everywhere ( and seeing how Nintendo supposedly produces 2.4 million units a month they must have been filling warehouses these last 2 months).