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May NPD 2019

Forums - Sales Discussion - May NPD 2019

Mar1217 said:
May seemed to be more particuliarly slow this year ...

Switch : 210K
PS4 : 128K
Xbone : 86K

The fact that I didn't want to round my numbers for the PS4/Xbone is hilarious now cuz I'm right on the mark for the latter xD

Now as for the others, I've underestimated the Switch by 7K and the PS4 by 9K which is really good once.

I'm getting incredibly good at this prediction thing :P

(Another victory for NPD Tool !)



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

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PS4 and Xbox are sinking, but that was to be expected.

New consoles out next year.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

RetroGamer94 said:
Nice! Switch is looking real good.

PS4 and Xbox not terrible but they certainly look like a price cut is required.

Xbox is terrible when you consider it had a piece of HW launch (obviously an unwanted addition) and the old models have been effectively $200 ($220-$240 with a game or two) for the whole month.  A price cut, even just a $50 one, will 100% help the PS4, but it will do little to help the XBO.



Congrats to Switch

The PS4 and XB1 are, expectedly, in decline, but the Xbone numbers are particularly tragic



Nintendo: Does almost nothing in May, is up 30% YoY
Microsoft: Releases new hardware, has second worst month since Xbone launched.

...Well then



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Microsoft really has to knock it out of the park when they reveal Scarlett. Even for a system in its 6th year, turning 7 in November, those numbers... ouch.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

Huh, Interesting results. The PS4 sold 60% higher then Xbxone. And Swith sold roughly 60% higher thn PS4!! 🤔🤷‍♂️



Chart time!

More charts to come later.

The PS4 had its worst month yet, and the XBO had its second-worst month (though its worst month, May 2014, was when they announced a Kinect-less SKU for release in June, resulting in a much larger April-to-May drop that year). For YTD sales, the PS4 is down 32.9% YoY while the XBO is down 34.1%. While the Switch's sales have grown by a healthy 23.3% for the year so far, it wasn't enough to offset the losses from the PS4 & XBO, and so far console sales are down 15.7% from the Jan.-May period of last year.



Shadow1980 said:

Chart time!

Funny how that holiday spike keeps going higher, even though it's not always the same console... or even the same month to achieve that spike.



Bofferbrauer2 said:

Funny how that holiday spike keeps going higher, even though it's not always the same console... or even the same month to achieve that spike.

Holiday sales in general have been very strong this generation. While sales in the Jan.-Oct. period haven't been anything to write home about, aggressive Black Friday promotions have resulted in some of the most consistently strong holiday sales ever. The last two Q4s in the U.S. were ranked #4 & #5 among all fourth quarters on record, with same-gen console sales of 8283k in Q4 2017 and 8484k in Q4 2018. Of course, the Switch hasn't replicated the Wii's success, so we haven't gotten to the same level of sales we saw in Q4 of 2008, 2009, & 2010. If we focus on just PS & Xbox, the PS4 & XBO sold over 5M units every Q4 from 2015 to 2018, with a peak of 6.37M in Q4 2015, the best Q4 for combined PS & Xbox sales ever in the U.S. By comparison, combined PS3+360 sales only went above 5M in Q4 of 2010 & 2011, and combined PS2+OXbox sales only went above 5M in Q4 2002 (though it was a strong peak holiday quarter with over 6.32M sold).

Essentially, the holidays have cannibalized sales from the first ten months of the year, resulting in decent-but-not-great sales outside the holidays but outstanding sales during the holidays. November has also represented a much higher share of Q4 sales than in previous generations, though that trend did start late last generation after big Black Friday price cuts started to become common. I expect this to continue throughout next generation, which I think will follow a very similar sales curve to this one, though with the PS5/Scarlett split being closer assuming neither Sony nor MS make any major blunders.