Yup tbh It should hit 35m and 40m isn't impossible lol. Totally underestimated it's legs.

It’ll do it by as early as the end of the December.
I think 30 million is the more likely outcome. Maybe even 35 million.

Forgot to update this lol. Almost there!!! By years end???

I was looking for this thread recently. Glad to see it back on the first page.

@tbone51 I would be surprised if it doesn't reach 25 million by the end of the year. It only needs 2.15 million to reach 25m and didn't the game sell something like 5m in 2020? Obviously, I wouldn't expect it to sell another 5m in 2021, but I highly doubt it would drop to less than 2.15m. Probably going to pull in about 4m.

What's interesting is that I used to view 25m as the absolute max for what Smash Ultimate could achieve. It's very clear that the game's final total will be far above that. I think it will join the 30m club by the end of 2022 or early 2023, even if Nintendo doesn't release a Complete Edition of the game, containing all the DLC (which I'm sure will cost more than the base game, but I could see it being a bargain for people who still haven't picked up the game by then). Still, I do hope they are planning to release that after the DLC wraps up (so potentially as early as this year maybe).

I think Smash Ultimate even has a chance to reach 40m! What do you guys thunk SSBU's lifetime total will be when all is said and done?

Smash Bros will ultimately join the 30 million club. Id say it should do around 35 million which is crazy considering it hasnt ever been bundled!

Some games do better during different years if they are evergreens. SSBU could do better in 2021 than 2020 for example. That said 35mil lifetime + or - 2mil seems to be the range now.

same I have for BotW lol

One BOLD Tbone prediction that came true. It'll definitely sell more than 30mil in the end.
BotW was selling a bit more each quarter last year and will get a boost from it's sequel, so I can see BotW surpassing SSBU after it starts selling slower when the DLC is done.

@tbone51 It's entirely possible, and that has happened that evergreens do better in different years (like how MK8DX is doing better each year).

@Kakadu18 Yeah, I could see BOTW outselling SSBU in the end as well (already has if you include the Wii U version). A Complete Edition for SSBU with all DLC would probably tip the scale in SSBU's favor though.

He was right... but as usual not quite the way he expected it...

Ok, that's hilarious.