They didn't give release dates for anything after July yet. It's very likely that Yoshi will be their August or September game. They probably didn't want to release it too close to the other 2D platformers (Kirby and Donkey Kong).

They didn't just make these sales goals up with no reason, though. They know how well their games sell approximately, so they did the math and came to the conclusion that they could sell about 20 million. They know the full line up, so their prediction would probably be better than ours.

Remember, we don't know a single release date yet for August and beyond, and these are by far the biggest months of the year.

Im pretty sure that was referring to fiscal year shipments so April 2018-March 2019.

But even so we should wait until the next financial briefing when they give the official forcast.

We may not know exact dates, but we do know most of the first party games that will be released in the second half of 2018.  Captain Toad, Smash Bros, Yoshi, Metroid Prime 4, and Fire Emblem have all been mentioned for 2018 release and they aren't coming in the first half.  That is already almost a game a month.  They may have another game or two as a surprise, but unless it is Pokemon or a huge port like GTA5, then I think they are going to be disappointed with their hardware sales.

I still think Pokémon is likely to release this year. The Pokémon guy at E3 said: "It may still take more than a year until it gets released", which sounds like they're trying to make it a holiday 2018 game. It would also fit very well in the schedule, since they would probably want to release Smash together with the online service in September. If either Fire Emblem or Yoshi releases in August, and the other one in October, they would still need a big game for November. Pokémon would be perfect for that. Captain Toad and 3rd parties are just minor games to fill in the gaps, so these shouldn't be a problem. And Metroid Prime 4 will probably be released in 2019.

Of course, things may very well turn out completely differently, but I don't think this schedule is unlikely at all.

I still think Pokémon is likely to be released this year. The Pokémon guy at E3 said: "It may still take more than a year until it gets released", which sounds like they're trying to make it a holiday 2018 game. It would also fit very well in the schedule, since they would probably want to release Smash together with the online service in September. If either Fire Emblem or Yoshi releases in August, and the other one in October, they would still need a big game for November. Pokémon would be perfect for that. Captain Toad and 3rd parties are just minor games to fill in the gaps, so these shouldn't be a problem. And Metroid Prime 4 will probably be released in 2019.

Of course, things may very well turn out completely differently, but I don't think this schedule is unlikely at all.

Ports are never a bad thing, and the hybrid nature of the Switch justifies pretty much every one, but they can't replace original titles.  The lack of new announcements that haven't already been on other systems is disappointing no matter how good Okami and Captain Toad are.  after Zelda, Mario, Xenoblade, Splattoon, Arms, Mario + Rabbids, and Fire Emblem Warriors 2018 looks kind of barren when it comes to big exclusives.  Right now there's Kirby, Mario Tennis, and Yoshi from Nintendo, with not a peep from Fire Emblem.  Even Smash could still be just an enhanced port, which would make the 2018 lineup look worse.  Obviously there will be more announced at E3, but to go the first half of the year with no original games bigger than Kirby and Mario Tennis is disappointing after having Zelda and an exciting new IP in the first half of 2017.

I think they are going to be disappointed with their hardware sales.

I think Animal Crossing is more likely to be November's big game. The last Pokemon generation came out in November 2016, and a gap of only 24 months is smaller than any previous generational leap for Pokemon. On the other hand, the last Animal Crossing game came out in November 2012, and six years is longer than any previous gap between Animal Crossing games; the current biggest gap is between City Folk and New Leaf, at four years.

Mario & Luigi games are made by AlphaDream and they haven't done any work on other IPs since Superstar Saga on the GBA. I guess they have to hire more people to work on a Switch game, so they are doing remakes on the 3DS in the meantime.

Dark Souls should be single-player, so the online portion is similar to Xenoblade Chronicles X's online portion outside of the dedicated arenas where players can go online and help each other in some indirect ways. Although just like XCX it might have a more conventional, albeit limited, online component too.

Travis Strikes Again seems to be split in its main campaign. One half is similar to what is known from the previous two games, the other half is about entering seven different video games that can take on various forms of gameplay. Of course, I can't give you an exact percentage split. I assume the trailer focused on the virtual video game portion to highlight something new in comparison to the previous No More Heroes games.